Prediction: HSV Hoek vs Spakenburg
Team pages: HSV Hoek · Spakenburg
- HSV Hoek1-1Spakenburg
- Spakenburg1-3HSV Hoek
| HSV Hoek | Draw | Spakenburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HSV Hoek (rating 1556 vs 1501).
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HSV Hoek | Spakenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HSV Hoek 1–1–0 Spakenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | HSV Hoek | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Spakenburg |
| 30/08/25 Netherlands Tweede Divisie | Spakenburg | 1-3 HT 1-1 | HSV Hoek |
Standings · Netherlands Tweede Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Quick Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | De Treffers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Almere City Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | HHC Hardenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | HSV Hoek | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Kloetinge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | IJsselmeervogels | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Spakenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kozakken Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Katwijk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Amsterdamsche FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Barendrecht | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Koninklijke HFC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | GVVV Veenendaal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rijnsburgse Boys | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | ROHDA Raalte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | RKAV Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HSV Hoek | Spakenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Katwijk | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Koninklijke HFC | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| De Treffers | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Rijnsburgse Boys | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Barendrecht | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Almere City Reserves | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Amsterdamsche FC | 5-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Kozakken Boys | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: HSV Hoek (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HSV Hoek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
4-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | IJsselmeervogels Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
Spakenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | RKAV Volendam Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Koninklijke HFC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Katwijk Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | De Treffers Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Rijnsburgse Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Barendrecht Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Almere City Reserves Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Amsterdamsche FC Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Kozakken Boys Netherlands Tweede Divisie |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HSV Hoek vs Spakenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HSV Hoek win (40%). Probabilities: HSV Hoek 40%, draw 24%, Spakenburg 36%.
How many goals are expected in HSV Hoek vs Spakenburg?
The model expects 3.37 goals (HSV Hoek 1.72 · Spakenburg 1.65), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in HSV Hoek vs Spakenburg?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.