Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 23/10, 17:30

Prediction: FK Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina

Team pages: FK Usti nad Labem · MFK Karvina

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
FK Usti nad Labem1.3
MFK Karvina1.59
1X2
30% 26% 43%
FK Usti nad Labem Draw MFK Karvina
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Usti nad Labem 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WDDWWDLWLD
MFK Karvina 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWLWWW
Head-to-head
FK Usti nad Labem 2–2 MFK Karvina (4 last)
  • FK Usti nad Labem1-3MFK Karvina
  • MFK Karvina1-0FK Usti nad Labem
  • MFK Karvina0-1FK Usti nad Labem
  • FK Usti nad Labem1-0MFK Karvina
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Usti nad Labem 1540 · MFK Karvina 1573
FK Usti nad LabemDrawMFK Karvina
Our model30%27%43%
Market31%26%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Usti nad LabemMFK Karvina
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.22.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.71.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.53.1 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.13.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Usti nad Labem 2–0–2 MFK Karvina

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/16
Czechia 2. Liga
FK Usti nad Labem1-3
HT 1-1
MFK Karvina
07/11/15
Czechia 2. Liga
MFK Karvina1-0
HT 0-0
FK Usti nad Labem
24/05/15
Czechia 2. Liga
MFK Karvina0-1
HT 0-0
FK Usti nad Labem
14/11/14
Czechia 2. Liga
FK Usti nad Labem1-0
HT 0-0
MFK Karvina

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MFK Karvina 11803 231224
2 Dukla Praha 11623 211820
3 Vysocina Jihlava 11623 191220
4 FK Usti nad Labem 11542 191319
5 FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim 11533 201418
6 FK Pribram 11452 201817
7 FC Silon Taborsko 11353 151514
8 Banik Ostrava B 11425 191614
9 Viktoria Zizkov 11425 121914
10 Opava 11344 172013
11 Slavia Prague B 11344 201913
12 SK Kladno 11344 161713
13 Arsenal Ceska Lipa 11335 142012
14 SK Prostejov 11173 151610
15 Trinec 11245 132010
16 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 11137 9236

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Usti nad LabemMFK Karvina
SK Prostejov 2-2 D 2-1 W
FC Silon Taborsko 1-0 W 1-0 W
Dukla Praha 3-1 W 3-0 W
Trinec 0-0 D 2-3 L
Arsenal Ceska Lipa 3-3 D 5-2 W
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz 2-0 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 0 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Karvina (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Usti nad Labem

WDDWWDLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 SK Prostejov
Czechia 2. Liga
0-1 2-2 143 D
09/10 Opava
Czechia 2. Liga
0-3 2-3 96 L
20/09 Banik Ostrava B
Czechia 2. Liga
1-0 2-0 44 W
11/09 Vysocina Jihlava
Czechia 2. Liga
1-2 1-2 65 L
04/09 Slavia Prague B
Czechia 2. Liga
1-1 1-1 103 D
29/08 FC Silon Taborsko
Czechia 2. Liga
1-0 1-0 35 W
21/08 Dukla Praha
Czechia 2. Liga
1-0 3-1 55 W
17/08 Trinec
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 0-0 75 D
07/08 Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Czechia 2. Liga
3-0 3-3 76 D
01/08 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz
Czechia 2. Liga
1-0 2-0 07 W

MFK Karvina

WWWWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Dukla Praha
Czechia 2. Liga
2-0 3-0 100 W
09/10 FC Silon Taborsko
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 1-0 55 W
18/09 Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz
Czechia 2. Liga
2-0 3-2 36 W
11/09 Trinec
Czechia 2. Liga
2-0 2-3 33 L
04/09 SK Kladno
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 2-0 81 W
29/08 FK Pribram
Czechia 2. Liga
1-1 1-2 46 L
21/08 Viktoria Zizkov
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 3-0 74 W
15/08 Arsenal Ceska Lipa
Czechia 2. Liga
3-2 5-2 73 W
07/08 SK Prostejov
Czechia 2. Liga
2-0 2-1 43 W
31/07 FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim
Czechia 2. Liga
0-0 1-0 82 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MFK Karvina win (43%). Probabilities: FK Usti nad Labem 30%, draw 26%, MFK Karvina 43%.

How many goals are expected in FK Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina?

The model expects 2.89 goals (FK Usti nad Labem 1.3 · MFK Karvina 1.59), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Usti nad Labem vs MFK Karvina?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.