Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 01/11, 10:15

Prediction: Viktoria Zizkov vs Dukla Praha

Team pages: Viktoria Zizkov · Dukla Praha

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Viktoria Zizkov1.58

Dukla Praha1.61

1X2

36% 26% 38%

Viktoria Zizkov Draw Dukla Praha

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Viktoria Zizkov 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWWDL

Dukla Praha 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDWLD

Head-to-head

Viktoria Zizkov 1–1–4 Dukla Praha (6 last)

Dukla Praha1-0Viktoria Zizkov
Viktoria Zizkov1-5Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha3-1Viktoria Zizkov
Viktoria Zizkov1-1Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha1-2Viktoria Zizkov
Viktoria Zizkov0-2Dukla Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viktoria Zizkov 1469 · Dukla Praha 1519

	Viktoria Zizkov	Draw	Dukla Praha
Our model	36%	26%	38%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dukla Praha (rating 1469 vs 1519).
H2H favours Dukla Praha: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viktoria Zizkov	Dukla Praha
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7	3.8 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:48 +6’	2.50	3.40	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Zizkov 1–1–4 Dukla Praha

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/24 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	1-0 HT 0-0	Viktoria Zizkov
14/08/23 Czechia 2. Liga	Viktoria Zizkov	1-5 HT 1-2	Dukla Praha
13/04/22 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	3-1 HT 2-1	Viktoria Zizkov
24/09/21 Czechia 2. Liga	Viktoria Zizkov	1-1 HT 1-0	Dukla Praha
05/05/21 Czechia 2. Liga	Dukla Praha	1-2 HT 0-0	Viktoria Zizkov
28/11/20 Czechia 2. Liga	Viktoria Zizkov	0-2 HT 0-1	Dukla Praha

Standings · Czechia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MFK Karvina	12	9	0	3	26	13	27
2	Vysocina Jihlava	12	7	2	3	21	12	23
3	Dukla Praha	12	6	3	3	22	19	21
4	FK Usti nad Labem	12	5	4	3	20	16	19
5	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	12	5	3	4	20	16	18
6	FK Pribram	12	4	6	2	22	20	18
7	Slavia Prague B	12	4	4	4	25	20	16
8	FC Silon Taborsko	12	3	6	3	16	16	15
9	Banik Ostrava B	12	4	3	5	20	17	15
10	SK Kladno	12	3	5	4	17	18	14
11	Opava	12	3	5	4	18	21	14
12	Viktoria Zizkov	12	4	2	6	13	21	14
13	Arsenal Ceska Lipa	12	3	4	5	16	22	13
14	Trinec	12	2	5	5	14	21	11
15	SK Prostejov	12	1	7	4	16	21	10
16	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	12	2	3	7	11	24	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viktoria Zizkov	Dukla Praha
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz	1-2 L	2-0 W
Slavia Prague B	1-0 W	1-3 L
SK Kladno	0-3 L	1-1 D
MFK Karvina	0-3 L	0-3 L
Banik Ostrava B	1-4 L	3-2 W
FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim	1-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dukla Praha (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viktoria Zizkov

LLLLDWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	2	L
18/10	FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	2	D
10/10	Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
20/09	Trinec Czechia 2. Liga	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
13/09	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
06/09	FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
30/08	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	8	2	L
21/08	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-0	0-3	10	4	L
16/08	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	7	L
07/08	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-4	5	8	L

Dukla Praha

WLLWWWDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
16/10	MFK Karvina Czechia 2. Liga	0-2	0-3	9	0	L
12/10	Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
18/09	SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	9	5	D
11/09	FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
05/09	Opava Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/08	Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	6	W
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
14/08	Slavia Prague B Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
07/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viktoria Zizkov vs Dukla Praha?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dukla Praha win (38%). Probabilities: Viktoria Zizkov 36%, draw 26%, Dukla Praha 38%.

How many goals are expected in Viktoria Zizkov vs Dukla Praha?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Viktoria Zizkov 1.58 · Dukla Praha 1.61), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Viktoria Zizkov vs Dukla Praha?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.