Football · Czechia 2. Liga · 30/10, 18:00
Prediction: MFK Karvina vs Slavia Prague B
Team pages: MFK Karvina · Slavia Prague B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.68Total
MFK Karvina2.5
Slavia Prague B1.18
1X2
MFK Karvina
Draw
Slavia Prague B
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
MFK Karvina
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Slavia Prague B
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MFK Karvina
1–1
Slavia Prague B
(2 last)
- MFK Karvina3-0Slavia Prague B
- Slavia Prague B4-2MFK Karvina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · MFK Karvina 1578 · Slavia Prague B 1494
| MFK Karvina | Draw | Slavia Prague B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.68 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MFK Karvina (rating 1578 vs 1494).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MFK Karvina | Slavia Prague B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.5 | 3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Karvina 1–0–1 Slavia Prague B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/23 Czechia 2. Liga | MFK Karvina | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Slavia Prague B |
| 30/10/22 Czechia 2. Liga | Slavia Prague B | 4-2 HT 2-1 | MFK Karvina |
Standings · Czechia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MFK Karvina | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Vysocina Jihlava | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Dukla Praha | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 4 | FK Usti nad Labem | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Pribram | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 7 | Slavia Prague B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Silon Taborsko | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Banik Ostrava B | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 15 |
| 10 | SK Kladno | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
| 11 | Opava | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Viktoria Zizkov | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 14 |
| 13 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Trinec | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Prostejov | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MFK Karvina | Slavia Prague B |
|---|---|---|
| FK Usti nad Labem | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Dukla Praha | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Trinec | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Viktoria Zizkov | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SK Prostejov | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MFK Karvina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/10 | Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 09/10 | FC Silon Taborsko Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Trinec Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | SK Kladno Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Pribram Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Arsenal Ceska Lipa Czechia 2. Liga |
3-2 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Slavia Prague B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | SK Prostejov Czechia 2. Liga |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 16/10 | Banik Ostrava B Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | FC Sellier & Bellot Vlasim Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Vysocina Jihlava Czechia 2. Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Viktoria Zizkov Czechia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | FK Usti nad Labem Czechia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Opava Czechia 2. Liga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz Czechia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | Dukla Praha Czechia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Trinec Czechia 2. Liga |
3-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MFK Karvina vs Slavia Prague B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MFK Karvina win (65%). Probabilities: MFK Karvina 65%, draw 20%, Slavia Prague B 15%.
How many goals are expected in MFK Karvina vs Slavia Prague B?
The model expects 3.68 goals (MFK Karvina 2.5 · Slavia Prague B 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in MFK Karvina vs Slavia Prague B?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.