Football · Austria Landesliga · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: USV Gnas vs Ilzer SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

USV Gnas1.65

Ilzer SV1.85

1X2

34% 23% 43%

USV Gnas Draw Ilzer SV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

USV Gnas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWWWL

Ilzer SV 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLWWW

Head-to-head

USV Gnas 1–1–4 Ilzer SV (6 last)

Ilzer SV1-2USV Gnas
USV Gnas0-4Ilzer SV
USV Gnas0-4Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV2-2USV Gnas
Ilzer SV2-0USV Gnas
Ilzer SV1-0USV Gnas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Gnas 1497 · Ilzer SV 1540

	USV Gnas	Draw	Ilzer SV
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ilzer SV (rating 1497 vs 1540).
H2H favours Ilzer SV: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Gnas	Ilzer SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:26 +8’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Gnas 1–1–4 Ilzer SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	1-2 HT 0-0	USV Gnas
24/10/25 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	0-4 HT 0-2	Ilzer SV
02/09/25 Austria Amateur Cup	USV Gnas	0-4 HT 0-0	Ilzer SV
01/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Ilzer SV	2-2 HT 1-0	USV Gnas
26/04/24 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	2-0 HT 1-0	USV Gnas
09/05/23 Austria Landesliga	Ilzer SV	1-0 HT 1-0	USV Gnas

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Gnas	Ilzer SV
ASK Koflach	1-0 W	4-0 W
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2-1 W	3-3 D
SC Fürstenfeld	0-1 L	1-6 L
SV Lebring	2-0 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

USV Gnas

LDWLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	SC Kalsdorf Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	4	0	L
14/07	FC Gleisdorf 09 Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-0	5	0	W
05/06	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-0	5-2	9	1	W
29/05	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
21/05	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
15/05	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
08/05	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
05/05	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
01/05	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/04	SV Allerheiligen Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-5	9	0	L

Ilzer SV

WLLWDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	SC Weiz Europe Friendlies	4-0	4-2	1	0	W
05/06	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
29/05	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
21/05	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
15/05	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-3	3-3	–	–	D
05/05	FC Gamlitz Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
01/05	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-6	9	3	L
24/04	SV Tillmitsch Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	5	7	L
17/04	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-2	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Gnas vs Ilzer SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ilzer SV win (43%). Probabilities: USV Gnas 34%, draw 23%, Ilzer SV 43%.

How many goals are expected in USV Gnas vs Ilzer SV?

The model expects 3.5 goals (USV Gnas 1.65 · Ilzer SV 1.85), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Gnas vs Ilzer SV?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.