Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FC Kufstein vs FC Wolfurt

Team pages: FC Kufstein · FC Wolfurt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

FC Kufstein2.84

FC Wolfurt1.19

1X2

70% 17% 12%

FC Kufstein Draw FC Wolfurt

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kufstein 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLWDWW

FC Wolfurt 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

FC Kufstein 2–0 FC Wolfurt (2 last)

FC Wolfurt0-3FC Kufstein
FC Kufstein2-1FC Wolfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kufstein 1501 · FC Wolfurt 1379

	FC Kufstein	Draw	FC Wolfurt
Our model	71%	17%	13%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kufstein (rating 1501 vs 1379).
H2H favours FC Kufstein: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kufstein	FC Wolfurt
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.3 / 3.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:47 +26’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kufstein 2–0–0 FC Wolfurt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/24 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Wolfurt	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Kufstein
23/09/23 Austria Regionalliga West	FC Kufstein	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Wolfurt

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Imst	14	11	1	2	31	10	34
2	SC Schwaz	14	11	1	2	39	22	34
3	Hohenems	14	11	0	3	37	17	33
4	FC Kitzbuhel	14	8	1	5	29	21	25
5	FC Dornbirn 1913	14	7	3	4	25	16	24
6	SC Rothis	14	7	3	4	28	25	24
7	SK St Johann	14	6	3	5	23	19	21
8	WSG Tirol II	14	6	2	6	36	27	20
9	Fugen/Uderns	14	6	1	7	28	34	19
10	FC Kufstein	14	4	5	5	21	18	17
11	FC Lauterach	14	4	4	6	25	28	16
12	SVG Reichenau	14	4	4	6	17	22	16
13	SV Lochau	14	3	2	9	16	35	11
14	SCR Altach II	14	2	4	8	17	31	10
15	FC Lustenau	14	1	5	8	18	39	8
16	FC Wolfurt	14	1	1	12	19	45	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kufstein	FC Wolfurt
SC Imst	1-2 L	1-2 L
Hohenems	1-3 L	1-4 L
FC Kitzbuhel	1-2 L	2-3 L
SC Schwaz	1-2 L	2-5 L
FC Lauterach	2-2 D	2-4 L
SC Rothis	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kufstein (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kufstein

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/10	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
17/10	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
10/10	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/09	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/09	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
13/09	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/09	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
30/08	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	0	5	D

FC Wolfurt

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-4	1-4	6	1	L
23/10	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
18/10	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-5	0	4	L
10/10	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-4	5	4	L
03/10	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-6	–	–	L
19/09	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
12/09	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	2-3	2	6	L
06/09	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
29/08	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kufstein vs FC Wolfurt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kufstein win (70%). Probabilities: FC Kufstein 70%, draw 17%, FC Wolfurt 12%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kufstein vs FC Wolfurt?

The model expects 4.03 goals (FC Kufstein 2.84 · FC Wolfurt 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kufstein vs FC Wolfurt?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.