Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Hohenems vs SV Lochau

Team pages: Hohenems · SV Lochau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Hohenems2.98

SV Lochau1.08

1X2

75% 15% 10%

Hohenems Draw SV Lochau

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Hohenems 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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SV Lochau 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Hohenems 1–0 SV Lochau (1 last)

SV Lochau2-3Hohenems

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hohenems 1589 · SV Lochau 1425

	Hohenems	Draw	SV Lochau
Our model	75%	15%	10%
Market	75%	15%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hohenems (rating 1589 vs 1425).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hohenems	SV Lochau
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.5 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	2.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.20

X6.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +24’	1.20	6.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hohenems 1–0–0 SV Lochau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Austria Regionalliga West	SV Lochau	2-3 HT 1-1	Hohenems

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Imst	15	12	1	2	34	10	37
2	SC Schwaz	15	12	1	2	45	22	37
3	Hohenems	15	12	0	3	41	17	36
4	FC Kitzbuhel	15	9	1	5	32	21	28
5	FC Dornbirn 1913	15	7	4	4	25	16	25
6	SC Rothis	15	7	3	5	28	28	24
7	WSG Tirol II	15	7	2	6	39	27	23
8	Fugen/Uderns	15	7	1	7	33	35	22
9	SK St Johann	15	6	3	6	23	23	21
10	FC Kufstein	15	4	6	5	22	19	18
11	SVG Reichenau	15	4	5	6	17	22	17
12	FC Lauterach	15	4	4	7	26	33	16
13	SV Lochau	15	3	2	10	16	38	11
14	SCR Altach II	15	2	4	9	17	34	10
15	FC Lustenau	15	1	5	9	18	45	8
16	FC Wolfurt	15	1	2	12	20	46	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hohenems	SV Lochau
SK St Johann	4-0 W	1-3 L
FC Wolfurt	4-1 W	3-2 W
WSG Tirol II	5-2 W	2-3 L
SC Imst	2-0 W	0-3 L
FC Kitzbuhel	2-1 W	0-3 L
SC Schwaz	3-1 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Hohenems (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hohenems

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	4-0	3	4	W
31/10	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	4-0	4-1	8	1	W
24/10	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	2-1	5-2	2	2	W
18/10	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
03/10	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-1	7	7	W
27/09	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
19/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	3-1	–	–	W

SV Lochau

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
31/10	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
24/10	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-2	9	3	L
17/10	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
10/10	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-1	10	6	D
26/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
19/09	SK St Johann Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
12/09	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
05/09	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hohenems vs SV Lochau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hohenems win (75%). Probabilities: Hohenems 75%, draw 15%, SV Lochau 10%.

How many goals are expected in Hohenems vs SV Lochau?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Hohenems 2.98 · SV Lochau 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hohenems vs SV Lochau?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.