Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: FC Kufstein vs SK St Johann

Team pages: FC Kufstein · SK St Johann

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

FC Kufstein1.63

SK St Johann1.41

1X2

42% 25% 33%

FC Kufstein Draw SK St Johann

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kufstein 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWDWWD

SK St Johann 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLLLWL

Head-to-head

FC Kufstein 2–1 SK St Johann (3 last)

SK St Johann1-3FC Kufstein
SK St Johann2-0FC Kufstein
SK St Johann2-3FC Kufstein

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kufstein 1512 · SK St Johann 1489

	FC Kufstein	Draw	SK St Johann
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Kufstein: 2-0-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kufstein	SK St Johann
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	3.3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:39 +28’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kufstein 2–0–1 SK St Johann

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Austria Regionalliga West	SK St Johann	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Kufstein
12/07/24 Europe Friendlies	SK St Johann	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Kufstein
17/07/20 Europe Friendlies	SK St Johann	2-3 HT 1-2	FC Kufstein

Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Imst	15	12	1	2	34	10	37
2	SC Schwaz	15	12	1	2	45	22	37
3	Hohenems	15	12	0	3	41	17	36
4	FC Kitzbuhel	15	9	1	5	32	21	28
5	FC Dornbirn 1913	15	7	4	4	25	16	25
6	SC Rothis	15	7	3	5	28	28	24
7	WSG Tirol II	15	7	2	6	39	27	23
8	Fugen/Uderns	15	7	1	7	33	35	22
9	SK St Johann	15	6	3	6	23	23	21
10	FC Kufstein	15	4	6	5	22	19	18
11	SVG Reichenau	15	4	5	6	17	22	17
12	FC Lauterach	15	4	4	7	26	33	16
13	SV Lochau	15	3	2	10	16	38	11
14	SCR Altach II	15	2	4	9	17	34	10
15	FC Lustenau	15	1	5	9	18	45	8
16	FC Wolfurt	15	1	2	12	20	46	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kufstein	SK St Johann
FC Wolfurt	1-1 D	1-0 W
SC Imst	1-2 L	0-0 D
Hohenems	1-3 L	0-4 L
FC Kitzbuhel	1-2 L	2-0 W
SC Schwaz	1-2 L	1-3 L
FC Lauterach	2-2 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kufstein

DLLLLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
31/10	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/10	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-1	9	3	W
17/10	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	4	10	D
10/10	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/09	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/09	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-2	9	2	L
13/09	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
04/09	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	5	4	D

SK St Johann

WDWDWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Hohenems Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	0-4	4	4	L
31/10	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/10	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
18/10	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
11/10	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-2	6	9	L
03/10	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	5-1	7	5	W
26/09	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
19/09	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	3-1	11	3	W
12/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kufstein vs SK St Johann?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kufstein win (42%). Probabilities: FC Kufstein 42%, draw 25%, SK St Johann 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kufstein vs SK St Johann?

The model expects 3.03 goals (FC Kufstein 1.63 · SK St Johann 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kufstein vs SK St Johann?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.