Football · Austria Regionalliga West · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: Hohenems vs SK St Johann

Team pages: Hohenems · SK St Johann

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Hohenems2.31

SK St Johann1.28

1X2

60% 20% 20%

Hohenems Draw SK St Johann

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hohenems 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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SK St Johann 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hohenems 1574 · SK St Johann 1519

	Hohenems	Draw	SK St Johann
Our model	59%	21%	19%
Market	60%	20%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hohenems (rating 1574 vs 1519).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hohenems	SK St Johann
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	3.6 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.90

Under 41.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:52 +20’	1.50	4.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Imst	14	11	1	2	31	10	34
2	SC Schwaz	14	11	1	2	39	22	34
3	Hohenems	14	11	0	3	37	17	33
4	FC Kitzbuhel	14	8	1	5	29	21	25
5	FC Dornbirn 1913	14	7	3	4	25	16	24
6	SC Rothis	14	7	3	4	28	25	24
7	SK St Johann	14	6	3	5	23	19	21
8	WSG Tirol II	14	6	2	6	36	27	20
9	Fugen/Uderns	14	6	1	7	28	34	19
10	FC Kufstein	14	4	5	5	21	18	17
11	FC Lauterach	14	4	4	6	25	28	16
12	SVG Reichenau	14	4	4	6	17	22	16
13	SV Lochau	14	3	2	9	16	35	11
14	SCR Altach II	14	2	4	8	17	31	10
15	FC Lustenau	14	1	5	8	18	39	8
16	FC Wolfurt	14	1	1	12	19	45	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hohenems	SK St Johann
FC Wolfurt	4-1 W	1-0 W
WSG Tirol II	5-2 W	2-1 W
SC Imst	2-0 W	0-0 D
FC Kitzbuhel	2-1 W	2-0 W
SC Schwaz	3-1 W	1-3 L
FC Lauterach	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hohenems (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hohenems

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	4-0	4-1	8	1	W
24/10	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	2-1	5-2	2	2	W
18/10	SVG Reichenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
10/10	FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
03/10	SCR Altach II Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-1	7	7	W
27/09	FC Kufstein Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	3-1	7	4	W
19/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	2-0	3-1	3	5	W

SK St Johann

WWDWDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/10	SC Schwaz Austria Regionalliga West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
18/10	FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
11/10	SC Rothis Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-2	6	9	L
03/10	Fugen/Uderns Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	5-1	7	5	W
26/09	FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
19/09	SV Lochau Austria Regionalliga West	1-1	3-1	11	3	W
12/09	SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	FC Wolfurt Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
28/08	WSG Tirol II Austria Regionalliga West	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hohenems vs SK St Johann?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hohenems win (60%). Probabilities: Hohenems 60%, draw 20%, SK St Johann 20%.

How many goals are expected in Hohenems vs SK St Johann?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Hohenems 2.31 · SK St Johann 1.28), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Hohenems vs SK St Johann?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.