Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 01/08, 12:00
Prediction: FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka
Team pages: FC Probiy Horodenka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
FC Metalist Kharkiv1.22
FC Probiy Horodenka1
1X2
FC Metalist Kharkiv
Draw
FC Probiy Horodenka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Metalist Kharkiv
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FC Probiy Horodenka
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Metalist Kharkiv
1–1–0
FC Probiy Horodenka
(2 last)
- FC Probiy Horodenka1-2FC Metalist Kharkiv
- FC Metalist Kharkiv1-1FC Probiy Horodenka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1496 · FC Probiy Horodenka 1507
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | FC Probiy Horodenka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1–1–0 FC Probiy Horodenka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Probiy Horodenka | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Metalist Kharkiv |
| 30/08/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Probiy Horodenka |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ingulets Petrovo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | UCSA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Chernigiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Nyva Ternopil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | PFC Oleksandria | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Metalist Kharkiv | FC Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets Odessa | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| UCSA | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Vorskla Poltava | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Metalist Kharkiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/06 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/05 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
FC Probiy Horodenka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/06 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Metalurg Zaporizhya Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Vorskla Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Metalist Kharkiv win (41%). Probabilities: FC Metalist Kharkiv 41%, draw 29%, FC Probiy Horodenka 30%.
How many goals are expected in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
The model expects 2.22 goals (FC Metalist Kharkiv 1.22 · FC Probiy Horodenka 1), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FC Probiy Horodenka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.