Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 04/10, 12:30
Prediction: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs UCSA
Team pages: Ahrobiznes Volochysk · UCSA
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1.73
UCSA1.14
1X2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Draw
UCSA
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
UCSA
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2–1–1
UCSA
(4 last)
- UCSA2-1Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-0UCSA
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-0UCSA
- UCSA0-0Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1527 · UCSA 1482
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Draw | UCSA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk (rating 1527 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | UCSA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2–1–1 UCSA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | UCSA | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
| 19/09/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | UCSA |
| 10/05/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | UCSA |
| 13/04/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | UCSA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | PFC Oleksandria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 6 | Ingulets Petrovo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | UCSA | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Nyva Ternopil | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | UCSA |
|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| PFC Oleksandria | 1-0 W | 4-4 D |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| SC Poltava | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Chernigiv | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: UCSA (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/06 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
UCSA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/09 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs UCSA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ahrobiznes Volochysk win (50%). Probabilities: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 50%, draw 26%, UCSA 24%.
How many goals are expected in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs UCSA?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.73 · UCSA 1.14), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs UCSA?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.