Prediction: PFC Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
Team pages: PFC Oleksandria · Lokomotiv Kyiv
| PFC Oleksandria | Draw | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PFC Oleksandria (rating 1569 vs 1486).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Oleksandria | Lokomotiv Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.8 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | PFC Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Ingulets Petrovo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PFC Oleksandria | Lokomotiv Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| FC Chernigiv | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: PFC Oleksandria (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Oleksandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Lokomotiv Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PFC Oleksandria win (60%). Probabilities: PFC Oleksandria 60%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 15%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The model expects 2.47 goals (PFC Oleksandria 1.73 · Lokomotiv Kyiv 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Oleksandria vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.