Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FC Chernigiv
Team pages: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk · FC Chernigiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk1.41
FC Chernigiv0.88
1X2
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
Draw
FC Chernigiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Chernigiv
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
2–2
FC Chernigiv
(4 last)
- FC Chernigiv1-0Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
- Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk0-3FC Chernigiv
- FC Chernigiv0-2Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
- Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk2-0FC Chernigiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1509 · FC Chernigiv 1498
| Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | Draw | FC Chernigiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 29% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | FC Chernigiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 2–0–2 FC Chernigiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Chernigiv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk |
| 17/08/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Chernigiv |
| 26/05/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Chernigiv | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk |
| 28/04/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Chernigiv |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | PFC Oleksandria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Ingulets Petrovo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 7 |
| 16 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | FC Chernigiv |
|---|---|---|
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| UCSA | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Nyva Ternopil | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| PFC Oleksandria | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Probiy Horodenka | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Lokomotiv Kyiv | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
FC Chernigiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FC Chernigiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk win (48%). Probabilities: Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 48%, draw 29%, FC Chernigiv 22%.
How many goals are expected in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FC Chernigiv?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk 1.41 · FC Chernigiv 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk vs FC Chernigiv?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.