Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 03/10, 10:00
Prediction: FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ingulets Petrovo
Team pages: FC Viktoriya Sumy · Ingulets Petrovo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
FC Viktoriya Sumy1.7
Ingulets Petrovo0.86
1X2
FC Viktoriya Sumy
Draw
Ingulets Petrovo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Viktoriya Sumy
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Ingulets Petrovo
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Viktoriya Sumy
1–1–4
Ingulets Petrovo
(6 last)
- FC Viktoriya Sumy2-2Ingulets Petrovo
- FC Viktoriya Sumy0-1Ingulets Petrovo
- Ingulets Petrovo4-2FC Viktoriya Sumy
- FC Viktoriya Sumy0-1Ingulets Petrovo
- Ingulets Petrovo3-0FC Viktoriya Sumy
- Ingulets Petrovo0-1FC Viktoriya Sumy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Viktoriya Sumy 1505 · Ingulets Petrovo 1520
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | Draw | Ingulets Petrovo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 26% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ingulets Petrovo: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Viktoriya Sumy | Ingulets Petrovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.7 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Viktoriya Sumy 1–1–4 Ingulets Petrovo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Ingulets Petrovo |
| 29/10/25 Ukraine Cup | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ingulets Petrovo |
| 19/10/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ingulets Petrovo | 4-2 HT 1-1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 19/11/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ingulets Petrovo |
| 16/09/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ingulets Petrovo | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
| 15/08/23 Ukraine Cup | Ingulets Petrovo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | PFC Oleksandria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 6 | Ingulets Petrovo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | UCSA | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 10 |
| 13 | Nyva Ternopil | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 15 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Viktoriya Sumy | Ingulets Petrovo |
|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Nyva Ternopil | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| PFC Oleksandria | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Probiy Horodenka | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ingulets Petrovo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Viktoriya Sumy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 21/09 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Ingulets Petrovo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ingulets Petrovo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Viktoriya Sumy win (56%). Probabilities: FC Viktoriya Sumy 56%, draw 26%, Ingulets Petrovo 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ingulets Petrovo?
The model expects 2.55 goals (FC Viktoriya Sumy 1.7 · Ingulets Petrovo 0.86), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Viktoriya Sumy vs Ingulets Petrovo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.