Football · Austria Landesliga · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: SV Spittal/Drau vs ATUS Ferlach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.51Total

SV Spittal/Drau1.97

ATUS Ferlach1.54

1X2

47% 23% 30%

SV Spittal/Drau Draw ATUS Ferlach

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Spittal/Drau 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDDLLW

ATUS Ferlach 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLWLWL

Head-to-head

SV Spittal/Drau 1–1–4 ATUS Ferlach (6 last)

ATUS Ferlach2-1SV Spittal/Drau
SV Spittal/Drau1-1ATUS Ferlach
SV Spittal/Drau0-1ATUS Ferlach
SV Spittal/Drau4-1ATUS Ferlach
ATUS Ferlach3-0SV Spittal/Drau
ATUS Ferlach3-1SV Spittal/Drau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Spittal/Drau 1465 · ATUS Ferlach 1463

	SV Spittal/Drau	Draw	ATUS Ferlach
Our model	47%	24%	30%
Market	47%	23%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours ATUS Ferlach: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Spittal/Drau	ATUS Ferlach
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	1.4 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.6	0.5 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +1’	1.91	4.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Spittal/Drau 1–1–4 ATUS Ferlach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria Landesliga	ATUS Ferlach	2-1 HT 1-1	SV Spittal/Drau
29/08/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	1-1 HT 1-1	ATUS Ferlach
16/03/25 Austria Amateur Cup	SV Spittal/Drau	0-1 HT 0-1	ATUS Ferlach
27/10/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Spittal/Drau	4-1 HT 3-0	ATUS Ferlach
07/08/23 Austria Landesliga	ATUS Ferlach	3-0 HT 0-0	SV Spittal/Drau
07/06/23 Austria Landesliga	ATUS Ferlach	3-1 HT 0-0	SV Spittal/Drau

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Spittal/Drau	ATUS Ferlach
SV Donau Klagenfurt	0-2 L	1-1 D
ASKO Kottmannsdorf	0-0 D	2-2 D
SV Dellach/Gail	0-4 L	0-5 L
Austria Klagenfurt II	3-1 W	1-4 L
VST Volkermarkt	2-2 D	0-4 L
St Veit SC	1-3 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Spittal/Drau (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Spittal/Drau

LLDWLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/06	KAC 1909 Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-1	7	0	W
29/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
22/05	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	2	3	L
17/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/05	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
08/05	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
03/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-1	7	3	W
29/04	VST Volkermarkt Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	0	5	D
24/04	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
17/04	ATUS Ferlach Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L

ATUS Ferlach

WLLDDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/06	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-4	1	1	L
29/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-3	–	–	W
23/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
16/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W
13/05	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
03/05	ASKO Kottmannsdorf Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
30/04	SV Dellach/Gail Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
24/04	VST Volkermarkt Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
17/04	SV Spittal/Drau Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Spittal/Drau vs ATUS Ferlach?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Spittal/Drau win (47%). Probabilities: SV Spittal/Drau 47%, draw 23%, ATUS Ferlach 30%.

How many goals are expected in SV Spittal/Drau vs ATUS Ferlach?

The model expects 3.51 goals (SV Spittal/Drau 1.97 · ATUS Ferlach 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Spittal/Drau vs ATUS Ferlach?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.