Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Austria Klagenfurt vs Atus Velden

Team pages: Austria Klagenfurt · Atus Velden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Austria Klagenfurt1.38

Atus Velden1.76

1X2

30% 24% 46%

Austria Klagenfurt Draw Atus Velden

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Austria Klagenfurt 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWLLDL

Atus Velden 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Austria Klagenfurt 1–1–0 Atus Velden (2 last)

Atus Velden2-2Austria Klagenfurt
Atus Velden1-2Austria Klagenfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Austria Klagenfurt 1493 · Atus Velden 1561

	Austria Klagenfurt	Draw	Atus Velden
Our model	29%	25%	45%
Market	31%	22%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atus Velden (rating 1493 vs 1561).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Austria Klagenfurt	Atus Velden
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	2.8 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.00

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:37 +32’	2.90	4.00	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Austria Klagenfurt 1–1–0 Atus Velden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	Atus Velden	2-2 HT 0-0	Austria Klagenfurt
24/07/26 Austria Cup	Atus Velden	1-2 HT 1-0	Austria Klagenfurt

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atus Velden	12	7	5	0	21	10	26
2	SK Treibach	12	6	2	4	24	17	20
3	VST Volkermarkt	12	6	2	4	24	13	20
4	Austria Klagenfurt	12	6	2	4	19	18	20
5	WAC St Andra II	12	5	3	4	22	20	18
6	ATSV Wolfsberg	12	2	4	6	10	27	10
7	SVG Bleiburg	12	2	4	6	16	21	10
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	12	1	4	7	12	22	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Austria Klagenfurt	Atus Velden
VST Volkermarkt	0-3 L	0-0 D
SVG Bleiburg	1-1 D	4-2 W
WAC St Andra II	0-2 L	1-0 W
SK Treibach	0-3 L	2-1 W
SV Donau Klagenfurt	2-1 W	1-1 D
ATSV Wolfsberg	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Atus Velden (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Austria Klagenfurt

WWWDWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
09/10	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-1	10	3	D
04/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
27/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-3	7	7	L
22/09	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
11/09	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/09	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-2	1	8	D
28/08	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	4-3	14	7	W
14/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	5-0	4	2	W

Atus Velden

DWWDWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
09/10	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	2-1	9	5	W
02/10	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-1	5	8	W
25/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
19/09	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
13/09	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
08/09	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-2	5	8	D
29/08	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-2	9	3	W
21/08	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	4-0	–	–	W
14/08	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	11	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Austria Klagenfurt vs Atus Velden?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atus Velden win (46%). Probabilities: Austria Klagenfurt 30%, draw 24%, Atus Velden 46%.

How many goals are expected in Austria Klagenfurt vs Atus Velden?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Austria Klagenfurt 1.38 · Atus Velden 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Austria Klagenfurt vs Atus Velden?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.