Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: SV Tillmitsch vs SV Allerheiligen

Team pages: SV Tillmitsch · SV Allerheiligen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

SV Tillmitsch2.08

SV Allerheiligen1.87

1X2

43% 22% 35%

SV Tillmitsch Draw SV Allerheiligen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Tillmitsch 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDDLDDL

SV Allerheiligen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLLWLL

Head-to-head

SV Tillmitsch 3–3 SV Allerheiligen (6 last)

SV Allerheiligen5-2SV Tillmitsch
SV Allerheiligen5-1SV Tillmitsch
SV Tillmitsch3-2SV Allerheiligen
SV Allerheiligen2-1SV Tillmitsch
SV Tillmitsch3-0SV Allerheiligen
SV Tillmitsch3-2SV Allerheiligen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Tillmitsch 1485 · SV Allerheiligen 1478

	SV Tillmitsch	Draw	SV Allerheiligen
Our model	43%	22%	35%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Tillmitsch	SV Allerheiligen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	2.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	3.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:01 +3’	2.10	4.00	2.60
11:59 +7’	2.10	4.10▲	2.55▼
05:00 +5’	2.10	4.00▼	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Tillmitsch 3–0–3 SV Allerheiligen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SV Allerheiligen	5-2 HT 1-0	SV Tillmitsch
22/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Allerheiligen	5-1 HT 2-0	SV Tillmitsch
24/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Tillmitsch	3-2 HT 3-1	SV Allerheiligen
06/05/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Allerheiligen	2-1 HT 2-0	SV Tillmitsch
04/10/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Tillmitsch	3-0 HT 3-0	SV Allerheiligen
19/02/24 Europe Friendlies	SV Tillmitsch	3-2 HT 2-1	SV Allerheiligen

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Steiermark

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deutschlandsberger SC	11	6	4	1	21	13	22
2	SC Kalsdorf	12	5	4	3	18	14	19
3	SV Lafnitz	12	4	6	2	26	24	18
4	SC Weiz	11	4	6	1	16	10	18
5	SV Allerheiligen	11	3	3	5	22	21	12
6	SV Tillmitsch	11	2	5	4	17	20	11
7	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	11	2	4	5	18	26	10
8	FC Gleisdorf 09	11	2	2	7	13	23	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Tillmitsch	SV Allerheiligen
Deutschlandsberger SC	1-2 L	2-3 L
SV Lafnitz	2-2 D	1-3 L
FC Gleisdorf 09	0-0 D	1-1 D
SC Kalsdorf	1-2 L	3-0 W
FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	2-2 D	3-4 L
SC Weiz	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SV Tillmitsch (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Tillmitsch

WWDLDDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/10	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
02/10	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/09	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
19/09	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
11/09	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-2	5	8	D
04/09	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	2-5	3	4	L
28/08	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
22/08	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
14/08	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-1	10	5	W

SV Allerheiligen

LDWWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	3-2	3-4	–	–	L
09/10	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/10	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/09	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
18/09	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	5-2	5	4	W
30/08	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	2-1	4-1	4	4	W
21/08	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
14/08	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-3	2-5	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Tillmitsch vs SV Allerheiligen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Tillmitsch win (43%). Probabilities: SV Tillmitsch 43%, draw 22%, SV Allerheiligen 35%.

How many goals are expected in SV Tillmitsch vs SV Allerheiligen?

The model expects 3.95 goals (SV Tillmitsch 2.08 · SV Allerheiligen 1.87), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Tillmitsch vs SV Allerheiligen?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.