Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 24/10, 15:30

Prediction: SK Treibach vs SVG Bleiburg

Team pages: SK Treibach · SVG Bleiburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

SK Treibach2.22

SVG Bleiburg1.17

1X2

60% 22% 18%

SK Treibach Draw SVG Bleiburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Treibach 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWLWL

SVG Bleiburg 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLLWDL

Head-to-head

SK Treibach 3–1–1 SVG Bleiburg (5 last)

SVG Bleiburg3-1SK Treibach
SVG Bleiburg1-2SK Treibach
SK Treibach3-1SVG Bleiburg
SK Treibach6-0SVG Bleiburg
SVG Bleiburg1-1SK Treibach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Treibach 1515 · SVG Bleiburg 1437

	SK Treibach	Draw	SVG Bleiburg
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Treibach (rating 1515 vs 1437).
H2H favours SK Treibach: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Treibach	SVG Bleiburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	1.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.7	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
07:04 +5’	1.50	4.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Treibach 3–1–1 SVG Bleiburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SVG Bleiburg	3-1 HT 1-1	SK Treibach
12/06/26 Austria Amateur Cup	SVG Bleiburg	1-2 HT 1-0	SK Treibach
09/06/26 Austria Amateur Cup	SK Treibach	3-1 HT 3-1	SVG Bleiburg
24/05/24 Austria Landesliga	SK Treibach	6-0 HT 2-0	SVG Bleiburg
07/10/23 Austria Landesliga	SVG Bleiburg	1-1 HT 0-1	SK Treibach

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atus Velden	12	7	5	0	21	10	26
2	SK Treibach	12	6	2	4	24	17	20
3	VST Volkermarkt	12	6	2	4	24	13	20
4	Austria Klagenfurt	12	6	2	4	19	18	20
5	WAC St Andra II	12	5	3	4	22	20	18
6	ATSV Wolfsberg	12	2	4	6	10	27	10
7	SVG Bleiburg	12	2	4	6	16	21	10
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	12	1	4	7	12	22	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Treibach	SVG Bleiburg
ATSV Wolfsberg	1-2 L	0-1 L
WAC St Andra II	5-4 W	0-2 L
Atus Velden	1-2 L	2-4 L
Austria Klagenfurt	3-0 W	1-1 D
VST Volkermarkt	0-3 L	0-2 L
SV Donau Klagenfurt	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SK Treibach (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Treibach

DWWLDLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	1-3	5-4	7	9	W
02/10	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
27/09	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
18/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
11/09	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
04/09	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
28/08	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
21/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/08	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	1	7	D

SVG Bleiburg

DLDWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/10	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
25/09	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
19/09	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-2	7	9	L
04/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
30/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	2-2	2	6	D
22/08	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	3-4	0	7	L
15/08	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Treibach vs SVG Bleiburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Treibach win (60%). Probabilities: SK Treibach 60%, draw 22%, SVG Bleiburg 18%.

How many goals are expected in SK Treibach vs SVG Bleiburg?

The model expects 3.39 goals (SK Treibach 2.22 · SVG Bleiburg 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Treibach vs SVG Bleiburg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.