Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 09/08, 15:00

Prediction: Vizela vs UD Leiria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Vizela1.58

UD Leiria1.1

1X2

47% 27% 25%

Vizela Draw UD Leiria

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vizela 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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UD Leiria 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vizela 3–1–0 UD Leiria (4 last)

Vizela1-0UD Leiria
UD Leiria2-2Vizela
Vizela1-0UD Leiria
UD Leiria0-2Vizela

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vizela: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vizela	UD Leiria
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.5	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:35

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.49	Pinn 2.49
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.30
2	2.81 → 2.81	Pinn 2.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:35	2.49	3.30	2.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vizela 3–1–0 UD Leiria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	Vizela	1-0 HT 1-0	UD Leiria
21/01/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	UD Leiria	2-2 HT 1-0	Vizela
19/01/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Vizela	1-0 HT 0-0	UD Leiria
11/08/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	UD Leiria	0-2 HT 0-1	Vizela

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academica	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Amarante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AVS	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Feirense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Felgueiras 1932	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Penafiel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Porto B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vizela	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chaves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Leixoes	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lusitania Lourosa	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Portimonense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SC Farense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SCU Torreense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Benfica B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting B	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	UD Leiria	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vizela	UD Leiria
SC Farense	0-2 L	0-3 L
Feirense	0-1 L	2-2 D
Benfica B	1-2 L	2-2 D
Penafiel	1-0 W	4-2 W
Lusitania Lourosa	4-3 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UD Leiria (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vizela

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Celta Fortuna Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
16/05	SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
09/05	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
02/05	Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
26/04	Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
19/04	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	9	7	L
12/04	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
07/04	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	1-2	3	8	L
21/03	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
15/03	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	2-1	4-3	6	5	W

UD Leiria

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Las Palmas Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-3	3	0	L
17/05	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-2	9	3	D
09/05	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
03/05	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-3	2	7	L
25/04	Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
18/04	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	2-1	4-2	2	6	W
11/04	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
05/04	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	9	7	D
29/03	Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
20/03	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-0	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vizela vs UD Leiria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vizela win (47%). Probabilities: Vizela 47%, draw 27%, UD Leiria 25%.

How many goals are expected in Vizela vs UD Leiria?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Vizela 1.58 · UD Leiria 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vizela vs UD Leiria?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.