Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 16/08, 19:00
Prediction: FC Porto B vs SC Farense
Team pages: FC Porto B · SC Farense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
FC Porto B0.92
SC Farense1.17
1X2
FC Porto B
Draw
SC Farense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Porto B
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
SC Farense
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Porto B
2–1–3
SC Farense
(6 last)
- SC Farense2-3FC Porto B
- FC Porto B0-2SC Farense
- SC Farense2-0FC Porto B
- FC Porto B4-0SC Farense
- SC Farense2-0FC Porto B
- FC Porto B0-0SC Farense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Porto B 1496 · SC Farense 1529
| FC Porto B | Draw | SC Farense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 29% | 30% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours SC Farense: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Porto B | SC Farense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Porto B 2–1–3 SC Farense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | SC Farense | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FC Porto B |
| 24/08/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | FC Porto B | 0-2 HT 0-2 | SC Farense |
| 07/05/23 Portugal Segunda Liga | SC Farense | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Porto B |
| 28/12/22 Portugal Segunda Liga | FC Porto B | 4-0 HT 1-0 | SC Farense |
| 13/03/22 Portugal Segunda Liga | SC Farense | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FC Porto B |
| 23/10/21 Portugal Segunda Liga | FC Porto B | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SC Farense |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Lusitania Lourosa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tondela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | SC Farense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Portimonense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Feirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Felgueiras 1932 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Amarante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | SCU Torreense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leixoes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | UD Leiria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Chaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Porto B | SC Farense |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting B | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Portimonense | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Porto B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 26/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/04 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/04 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/04 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 16/03 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
SC Farense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Segunda Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Segunda Liga Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Porto B vs SC Farense?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Farense win (41%). Probabilities: FC Porto B 28%, draw 31%, SC Farense 41%.
How many goals are expected in FC Porto B vs SC Farense?
The model expects 2.09 goals (FC Porto B 0.92 · SC Farense 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Porto B vs SC Farense?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.