Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 09/08, 16:30
Prediction: AVS vs Sporting B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
AVS1.63
Sporting B0.54
1X2
AVS
Draw
Sporting B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
AVS
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Sporting B
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AVS 1506 · Sporting B 1414
| AVS | Draw | Sporting B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 26% | 11% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AVS (rating 1506 vs 1414).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AVS | Sporting B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 1.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Amarante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AVS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Felgueiras 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SCU Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UD Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AVS
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Trofense Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/04 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Sporting B
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 26/04 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/03 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/03 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AVS vs Sporting B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AVS win (65%). Probabilities: AVS 65%, draw 23%, Sporting B 13%.
How many goals are expected in AVS vs Sporting B?
The model expects 2.17 goals (AVS 1.63 · Sporting B 0.54), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AVS vs Sporting B?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.