Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 08/08, 15:00
Prediction: Penafiel vs Portimonense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Penafiel1.45
Portimonense1.43
1X2
Penafiel
Draw
Portimonense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Penafiel
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Portimonense
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Penafiel
2–1–3
Portimonense
(6 last)
- Penafiel0-2Portimonense
- Portimonense2-1Penafiel
- Penafiel3-0Portimonense
- Portimonense0-2Penafiel
- Penafiel0-3Portimonense
- Penafiel2-2Portimonense
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portimonense (rating 1477 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Portimonense: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Penafiel | Portimonense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 3.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Penafiel 2–1–3 Portimonense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Portimonense |
| 09/08/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Portimonense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Penafiel |
| 21/02/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Portimonense |
| 28/09/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Portimonense | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Penafiel |
| 19/11/21 Portugal Cup | Penafiel | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Portimonense |
| 21/01/17 Portugal Segunda Liga | Penafiel | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Portimonense |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Amarante | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AVS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Felgueiras 1932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SCU Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UD Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Penafiel | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SCU Torreense | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Porto B | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| SC Farense | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Penafiel (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Penafiel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 07/03 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
Portimonense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Nottm Forest Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 03/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/03 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/03 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Penafiel vs Portimonense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Penafiel win (37%). Probabilities: Penafiel 37%, draw 27%, Portimonense 36%.
How many goals are expected in Penafiel vs Portimonense?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Penafiel 1.45 · Portimonense 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Penafiel vs Portimonense?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.