Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 15/08, 15:00
Prediction: UD Leiria vs Benfica B
Team pages: UD Leiria · Benfica B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
UD Leiria1.43
Benfica B1.39
1X2
UD Leiria
Draw
Benfica B
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UD Leiria
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Benfica B
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UD Leiria
3–2–1
Benfica B
(6 last)
- Benfica B2-2UD Leiria
- UD Leiria2-2Benfica B
- UD Leiria1-3Benfica B
- Benfica B0-5UD Leiria
- Benfica B0-1UD Leiria
- UD Leiria3-1Benfica B
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica B (rating 1457 vs 1507).
- H2H favours UD Leiria: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UD Leiria | Benfica B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Leiria 3–2–1 Benfica B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Benfica B | 2-2 HT 0-1 | UD Leiria |
| 30/11/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Benfica B |
| 18/04/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Benfica B |
| 07/12/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Benfica B | 0-5 HT 0-3 | UD Leiria |
| 29/01/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Benfica B | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UD Leiria |
| 19/08/23 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Benfica B |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Tondela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Sporting B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Feirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Felgueiras 1932 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lusitania Lourosa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Amarante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | SCU Torreense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | UD Leiria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Chaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UD Leiria | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| SC Farense | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Benfica B (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UD Leiria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Las Palmas Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Benfica B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Atletico CP Lisbon Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 26/04 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 22/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 07/04 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 22/03 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UD Leiria vs Benfica B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Leiria win (37%). Probabilities: UD Leiria 37%, draw 28%, Benfica B 35%.
How many goals are expected in UD Leiria vs Benfica B?
The model expects 2.82 goals (UD Leiria 1.43 · Benfica B 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UD Leiria vs Benfica B?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.