Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 15/11, 19:00
Prediction: Leixoes vs Chaves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Leixoes1.64
Chaves1.2
1X2
Leixoes
Draw
Chaves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Leixoes
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Chaves
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leixoes
1–3–2
Chaves
(6 last)
- Chaves1-2Leixoes
- Leixoes0-1Chaves
- Leixoes0-1Chaves
- Leixoes0-0Chaves
- Chaves0-0Leixoes
- Leixoes1-1Chaves
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chaves: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leixoes | Chaves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leixoes 1–3–2 Chaves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Chaves | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Leixoes |
| 16/11/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chaves |
| 31/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Leixoes | 0-1 | Chaves |
| 25/01/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chaves |
| 18/08/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Chaves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leixoes |
| 24/01/22 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Chaves |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting B | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitania Lourosa | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Academica | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | Tondela | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | SC Farense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Vizela | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | UD Leiria | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | SCU Torreense | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 5 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leixoes | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Sporting B | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Academica | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Benfica B | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Leixoes (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leixoes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 31/10 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 11/09 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 10/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
Chaves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/10 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leixoes vs Chaves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leixoes win (46%). Probabilities: Leixoes 46%, draw 27%, Chaves 27%.
How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs Chaves?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Leixoes 1.64 · Chaves 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leixoes vs Chaves?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.