Football · France Ligue 3 · 03/10, 20:45
Prediction: FC Fleury 91 vs Caen
Team pages: FC Fleury 91 · Caen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
FC Fleury 911.29
Caen1.41
1X2
FC Fleury 91
Draw
Caen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fleury 91
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Caen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Fleury 91
0–2
Caen
(2 last)
- Caen1-0FC Fleury 91
- FC Fleury 911-2Caen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caen (rating 1442 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Caen: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Fleury 91 | Caen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.5 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fleury 91 0–0–2 Caen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 France Ligue 3 | Caen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Fleury 91 |
| 29/08/25 France Ligue 3 | FC Fleury 91 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Caen |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Fleury 91 | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Aubagne Air Bel | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Thionville FC | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Valenciennes | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Rouen | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Caen (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Fleury 91
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 20/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 14/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 07/08 | Amiens France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Caen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Rouen France Ligue 3 |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bourg-Peronnas France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/08 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 07/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Fleury 91 vs Caen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caen win (38%). Probabilities: FC Fleury 91 33%, draw 28%, Caen 38%.
How many goals are expected in FC Fleury 91 vs Caen?
The model expects 2.7 goals (FC Fleury 91 1.29 · Caen 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Fleury 91 vs Caen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.