Football · France Ligue 3 · 03/10, 20:45
Prediction: Rouen vs Bourg-Peronnas
Team pages: Rouen · Bourg-Peronnas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Rouen1.81
Bourg-Peronnas0.66
1X2
Rouen
Draw
Bourg-Peronnas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rouen
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Bourg-Peronnas
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rouen
3–1
Bourg-Peronnas
(4 last)
- Bourg-Peronnas3-1Rouen
- Rouen1-0Bourg-Peronnas
- Rouen2-1Bourg-Peronnas
- Bourg-Peronnas0-1Rouen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rouen (rating 1567 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Rouen: 3-0-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rouen | Bourg-Peronnas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rouen 3–0–1 Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Rouen |
| 26/09/25 France Ligue 3 | Rouen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 12/04/25 France Ligue 3 | Rouen | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Bourg-Peronnas |
| 22/11/24 France Ligue 3 | Bourg-Peronnas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rouen |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rouen | Bourg-Peronnas |
|---|---|---|
| Caen | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Aubagne Air Bel | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Thionville FC | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Valenciennes | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Villefranche | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Rouen (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rouen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | US Quevilly France Ligue 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | US Orleans 45 France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cannes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
Bourg-Peronnas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Concarneau France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Paris 13 Atletico France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | SC Bastia France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Caen France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 20/08 | Thionville FC France Ligue 3 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Valenciennes France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Villefranche France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rouen vs Bourg-Peronnas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (64%). Probabilities: Rouen 64%, draw 24%, Bourg-Peronnas 12%.
How many goals are expected in Rouen vs Bourg-Peronnas?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Rouen 1.81 · Bourg-Peronnas 0.66), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rouen vs Bourg-Peronnas?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.