Football · Austria Cup · 24/07, 19:00
Prediction: SV Lafnitz vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
SV Lafnitz1.83
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1.45
1X2
SV Lafnitz
Draw
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SV Lafnitz
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Lafnitz 1478 · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1543
| SV Lafnitz | Draw | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 22% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth (rating 1478 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Lafnitz | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Lafnitz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | FK Austria Vienna II Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | St. Anna am Aigen Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | ASK Voitsberg Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Union Dietach Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | St Polten II Austria Landesliga |
3-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/06 | Langenrohr Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | ASK Bau Pochhacker Ybbs Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Stockerau Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Lafnitz vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Lafnitz win (46%). Probabilities: SV Lafnitz 46%, draw 23%, USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 30%.
How many goals are expected in SV Lafnitz vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?
The model expects 3.29 goals (SV Lafnitz 1.83 · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Lafnitz vs USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.