Football · Austria Cup · 26/07, 20:30
Prediction: SV Wienerberg vs Rapid Vienna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.7Total
SV Wienerberg0.85
Rapid Vienna2.85
1X2
SV Wienerberg
Draw
Rapid Vienna
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
SV Wienerberg
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Rapid Vienna
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Wienerberg 1605 · Rapid Vienna 1547
| SV Wienerberg | Draw | Rapid Vienna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| Market | 8% | 12% | 80% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Wienerberg (rating 1605 vs 1547).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Wienerberg | Rapid Vienna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Wienerberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | SC Wiener Viktoria Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 12/06 | SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/05 | FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | FC 1980 Wien Austria Amateur Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | First Vienna II Austria Landesliga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/05 | Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Rapid Vienna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | FC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Hamburg Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Panathinaikos Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 12/07 | Hertha Wels Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Rapid Bucuresti Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 05/07 | Pardubice Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Floridsdorfer AC Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Wienerberg vs Rapid Vienna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rapid Vienna win (79%). Probabilities: SV Wienerberg 8%, draw 13%, Rapid Vienna 79%.
How many goals are expected in SV Wienerberg vs Rapid Vienna?
The model expects 3.7 goals (SV Wienerberg 0.85 · Rapid Vienna 2.85), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Wienerberg vs Rapid Vienna?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.