Football · Austria Cup · 25/07, 19:00
Prediction: SK Treibach vs SV Kapfenberg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.08Total
SK Treibach1.04
SV Kapfenberg3.04
1X2
SK Treibach
Draw
SV Kapfenberg
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
SK Treibach
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
SV Kapfenberg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Treibach
0–1
SV Kapfenberg
(1 last)
- SK Treibach1-6SV Kapfenberg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Treibach 1493 · SV Kapfenberg 1484
| SK Treibach | Draw | SV Kapfenberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 5% | 12% | 82% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.08 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Treibach | SV Kapfenberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/0/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Treibach 0–0–1 SV Kapfenberg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/24 Austria Cup | SK Treibach | 1-6 HT 0-4 | SV Kapfenberg |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Treibach
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sirnitz Europe Friendlies |
7-0 | 12-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Deutschlandsberger SC Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/07 | TSV Grafenstein Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 12/06 | SVG Bleiburg Austria Amateur Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/06 | SVG Bleiburg Austria Amateur Cup |
3-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 05/06 | LASK Linz II Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 13/05 | Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 7 | L |
SV Kapfenberg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Grazer AK Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | GAK 1902 II Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Deutschlandsberger SC Europe Friendlies |
5-1 | 7-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/06 | SV Tillmitsch Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/06 | Austria Klagenfurt Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/05 | FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | St Polten Austria 2. Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga |
1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Treibach vs SV Kapfenberg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Kapfenberg win (80%). Probabilities: SK Treibach 7%, draw 13%, SV Kapfenberg 80%.
How many goals are expected in SK Treibach vs SV Kapfenberg?
The model expects 4.08 goals (SK Treibach 1.04 · SV Kapfenberg 3.04), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Treibach vs SV Kapfenberg?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.