Football · Austria Cup · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: SC Schwaz vs SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
SC Schwaz1.55
SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen1.42
1X2
SC Schwaz
Draw
SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SC Schwaz
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Schwaz 1482 · SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen 1479
| SC Schwaz | Draw | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Schwaz | SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.3 | 3.3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Schwaz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Worgl SV Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 7-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | SC Imst Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | SV Innsbruck Austria Amateur Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/06 | SK Bischofshofen Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | FC Lauterach Austria Regionalliga West |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FC Lustenau Austria Regionalliga West |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria Regionalliga West |
0-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FC Kitzbuhel Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | SV Wals-Grünau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | FC Pinzgau Austria Regionalliga West |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Union Gurten Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Askoe Oedt Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Junge Wikinger Ried Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | St. Anna am Aigen Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | ASK Voitsberg Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Union Dietach Austria Regionalliga Mitte |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Schwaz vs SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Schwaz win (40%). Probabilities: SC Schwaz 40%, draw 25%, SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen 35%.
How many goals are expected in SC Schwaz vs SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen?
The model expects 2.97 goals (SC Schwaz 1.55 · SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Schwaz vs SPG Wallern/ASV St. Marienkirchen?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.