Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 10/10, 13:00

Prediction: Magdeburg vs Hannover 96

Team pages: Magdeburg · Hannover 96

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Magdeburg1.64

Hannover 961.74

1X2

36% 25% 39%

Magdeburg Draw Hannover 96

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Magdeburg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWWLWD

Hannover 96 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Magdeburg 1–2–3 Hannover 96 (6 last)

Magdeburg1-2Hannover 96
Hannover 963-1Magdeburg
Hannover 960-0Magdeburg
Hannover 960-3Magdeburg
Hannover 962-2Magdeburg
Magdeburg0-3Hannover 96

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magdeburg 1552 · Hannover 96 1547

	Magdeburg	Draw	Hannover 96
Our model	36%	25%	40%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hannover 96: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Magdeburg	Hannover 96
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.70

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.63
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.98 ★
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:05 +3’	2.60	3.70	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +784’	2.60	3.93	2.45
00:08 +16’	2.63▲	3.98▲	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Magdeburg 1–2–3 Hannover 96

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Magdeburg	1-2 HT 0-1	Hannover 96
23/08/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Hannover 96	3-1 HT 2-0	Magdeburg
29/03/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Hannover 96	0-0 HT 0-0	Magdeburg
10/01/25 Club Friendly List	Hannover 96	0-3 HT 0-3	Magdeburg
14/11/24 Europe Friendlies	Hannover 96	2-2 HT 1-2	Magdeburg
27/10/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Magdeburg	0-3 HT 0-2	Hannover 96

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17	7	18
2	Nurnberg	6	5	1	0	16	6	16
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14	12	13
4	Wolfsburg	6	3	2	1	15	8	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	2	1	6	4	11
6	Magdeburg	6	3	1	2	11	9	10
7	Cottbus	6	2	2	2	14	13	8
8	St Pauli	6	1	4	1	8	8	7
9	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
11	VfL Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	9	12	7
12	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9	11	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10	12	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6	12	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	1	1	4	12	13	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	7	10	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	1	1	4	8	14	4
18	Darmstadt	6	1	1	4	5	13	4

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magdeburg

LWWLLWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/09	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
06/09	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-2	7	6	L
30/08	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	2-0	3	9	W
15/08	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	10	2	W
08/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-4	1-6	5	6	L
17/05	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
09/05	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
03/05	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
26/04	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Hannover 96

WDDDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
11/09	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
04/09	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
30/08	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
16/08	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
09/08	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-3	6	2	L
17/05	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	3-3	8	8	D
09/05	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
03/05	SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	3-3	10	6	D
25/04	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	3-1	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hannover 96 win (39%). Probabilities: Magdeburg 36%, draw 25%, Hannover 96 39%.

How many goals are expected in Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Magdeburg 1.64 · Hannover 96 1.74), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Magdeburg vs Hannover 96?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.