Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Nurnberg vs Darmstadt

Team pages: Nurnberg · Darmstadt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

Nurnberg2.13

Darmstadt1.51

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Nurnberg Draw Darmstadt

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Nurnberg 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWWDDL

Darmstadt 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLWLDD

Head-to-head

Nurnberg 1–1–4 Darmstadt (6 last)

Darmstadt2-0Nurnberg
Nurnberg0-1Darmstadt
Nurnberg1-0Darmstadt
Darmstadt1-1Nurnberg
Nurnberg0-1Darmstadt
Darmstadt2-0Nurnberg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Darmstadt: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nurnberg	Darmstadt
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.2	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.69▼	Pinn 1.69
X	4.40 → 4.53▲	Pinn 4.53
2	3.88 → 4.23▲	Pinn 4.23

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +6’	1.77	4.40	3.88
17:46 +27’	1.69▼	4.53▲	4.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nurnberg 1–1–4 Darmstadt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Darmstadt	2-0 HT 0-0	Nurnberg
08/08/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	0-1 HT 0-0	Darmstadt
31/01/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	1-0 HT 0-0	Darmstadt
25/08/24 Germany Bundesliga II	Darmstadt	1-1 HT 1-0	Nurnberg
31/03/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Nurnberg	0-1 HT 0-1	Darmstadt
17/09/22 Germany Bundesliga II	Darmstadt	2-0 HT 2-0	Nurnberg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	10	9	1	0	23	8	28
2	Wolfsburg	10	5	4	1	25	14	19
3	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21	12	18
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	9	7	18
5	Magdeburg	10	5	2	3	21	13	17
6	Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	17	18	15
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	2	4	16	15	14
8	St Pauli	9	2	6	1	11	9	12
9	VfL Osnabruck	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
10	Bochum	10	3	2	5	8	11	11
11	Karlsruher SC	10	3	2	5	13	21	11
12	Cottbus	10	2	4	4	18	20	10
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	10	3	1	6	16	18	10
14	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	12	16	9
15	Darmstadt	10	2	3	5	9	19	9
16	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	10	11	8
17	Dynamo Dresden	9	2	2	5	11	18	8
18	Hannover 96	9	2	2	5	8	15	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nurnberg	Darmstadt
Kaiserslautern	0-1 L	0-3 L
Cottbus	1-1 D	3-1 W
Wolfsburg	4-4 D	1-5 L
Karlsruher SC	1-0 W	0-4 L
Hannover 96	2-1 W	0-1 L
Holstein Kiel	2-2 D	2-2 D
Arminia Bielefeld	4-1 W	2-1 W
Dynamo Dresden	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Nurnberg (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nurnberg

DWWWDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	11	5	L
16/10	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/10	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	4-4	6	8	D
19/09	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
11/09	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
05/09	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
29/08	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	3-0	4-1	3	2	W
15/08	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	2-2	4-2	3	5	W
09/08	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
17/05	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	3-3	7	8	D

Darmstadt

DLLLWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
23/10	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
18/10	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	0-4	4	3	L
10/10	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	3-1	7	6	W
18/09	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	1-5	5	5	L
11/09	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
05/09	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
30/08	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
16/08	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	2-2	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nurnberg vs Darmstadt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nurnberg win (51%). Probabilities: Nurnberg 51%, draw 23%, Darmstadt 26%.

How many goals are expected in Nurnberg vs Darmstadt?

The model expects 3.64 goals (Nurnberg 2.13 · Darmstadt 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nurnberg vs Darmstadt?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.