Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 08/11, 13:30

Prediction: Bochum vs Karlsruher SC

Team pages: Bochum · Karlsruher SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Bochum1.76

Karlsruher SC1.06

1X2

53% 25% 22%

Bochum Draw Karlsruher SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bochum 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLLLDW

Karlsruher SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Bochum 2–2–2 Karlsruher SC (6 last)

Karlsruher SC1-2Bochum
Bochum2-2Karlsruher SC
Bochum1-2Karlsruher SC
Bochum1-2Karlsruher SC
Karlsruher SC0-1Bochum
Karlsruher SC0-0Bochum

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bochum 1510 · Karlsruher SC 1459

	Bochum	Draw	Karlsruher SC
Our model	53%	26%	22%
Market	53%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bochum (rating 1510 vs 1459).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bochum	Karlsruher SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.5	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.81
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.18 ★
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6% Pinnacle margin 4.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +1’	1.73	3.80	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:55 +26’	1.84	4.15	3.81
18:32	1.81▼	4.18▲	3.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bochum 2–2–2 Karlsruher SC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Karlsruher SC	1-2 HT 1-1	Bochum
20/12/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	2-2 HT 1-0	Karlsruher SC
10/12/22 Europe Friendlies	Bochum	1-2 HT 0-1	Karlsruher SC
31/01/21 Germany Bundesliga II	Bochum	1-2 HT 0-1	Karlsruher SC
27/09/20 Germany Bundesliga II	Karlsruher SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Bochum
24/05/20 Germany Bundesliga II	Karlsruher SC	0-0 HT 0-0	Bochum

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	10	9	1	0	23	8	28
2	Nurnberg	10	6	3	1	24	13	21
3	Wolfsburg	10	5	4	1	25	14	19
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	9	7	18
5	Magdeburg	10	5	2	3	21	13	17
6	Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	17	18	15
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	2	4	16	15	14
8	St Pauli	10	2	6	2	12	12	12
9	Greuther Furth	10	3	3	4	13	16	12
10	VfL Osnabruck	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
11	Bochum	10	3	2	5	8	11	11
12	Hannover 96	10	3	2	5	10	16	11
13	Karlsruher SC	10	3	2	5	13	21	11
14	Cottbus	10	2	4	4	18	20	10
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	10	3	1	6	16	18	10
16	Darmstadt	10	2	3	5	9	19	9
17	Holstein Kiel	10	1	5	4	10	12	8
18	Dynamo Dresden	10	2	2	6	12	20	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bochum	Karlsruher SC
Cottbus	2-1 W	0-3 L
Wolfsburg	1-1 D	2-5 L
Kaiserslautern	0-2 L	0-0 D
Arminia Bielefeld	0-1 L	2-1 W
Hannover 96	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Karlsruher SC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bochum

LWLWDLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
23/10	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
17/10	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
11/10	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
20/09	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-2	12	5	L
12/09	Greuther Furth Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
05/09	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
28/08	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
07/08	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	5	7	L

Karlsruher SC

WDLDLLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
24/10	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-6	4	3	L
18/10	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
11/10	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
19/09	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
13/09	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-3	5	3	L
04/09	Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
29/08	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II	2-3	2-5	10	1	L
15/08	Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
08/08	Arminia Bielefeld Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bochum win (53%). Probabilities: Bochum 53%, draw 25%, Karlsruher SC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Bochum 1.76 · Karlsruher SC 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bochum vs Karlsruher SC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.