Football · Germany Bundesliga II · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld

Team pages: Holstein Kiel · Arminia Bielefeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Holstein Kiel1.48

Arminia Bielefeld1.36

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Holstein Kiel Draw Arminia Bielefeld

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Holstein Kiel 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLDLDLDW

Arminia Bielefeld 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDWWLW

Head-to-head

Holstein Kiel 0–1–5 Arminia Bielefeld (6 last)

Arminia Bielefeld2-2Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel0-2Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel2-3Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld4-2Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel1-2Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld2-1Holstein Kiel

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Arminia Bielefeld: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Holstein Kiel	Arminia Bielefeld
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.8	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.752.01

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:13

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.48▼	Pinn 2.48
X	3.54 → 3.51▼	Pinn 3.51
2	2.76 → 2.81▲	Pinn 2.81

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +6’	2.50	3.54	2.76
17:45 +28’	2.48▼	3.51▼	2.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Holstein Kiel 0–1–5 Arminia Bielefeld

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Germany Bundesliga II	Arminia Bielefeld	2-2 HT 0-2	Holstein Kiel
10/08/25 Germany Bundesliga II	Holstein Kiel	0-2 HT 0-2	Arminia Bielefeld
02/04/23 Germany Bundesliga II	Holstein Kiel	2-3 HT 1-2	Arminia Bielefeld
17/09/22 Germany Bundesliga II	Arminia Bielefeld	4-2 HT 2-0	Holstein Kiel
30/05/20 Germany Bundesliga II	Holstein Kiel	1-2 HT 0-1	Arminia Bielefeld
03/11/19 Germany Bundesliga II	Arminia Bielefeld	2-1 HT 1-0	Holstein Kiel

Standings · Germany Bundesliga II

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	10	9	1	0	23	8	28
2	Wolfsburg	10	5	4	1	25	14	19
3	Nurnberg	9	5	3	1	21	12	18
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	9	7	18
5	Magdeburg	10	5	2	3	21	13	17
6	Heidenheim	10	4	3	3	17	18	15
7	Arminia Bielefeld	10	4	2	4	16	15	14
8	St Pauli	9	2	6	1	11	9	12
9	VfL Osnabruck	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
10	Bochum	10	3	2	5	8	11	11
11	Karlsruher SC	10	3	2	5	13	21	11
12	Cottbus	10	2	4	4	18	20	10
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	10	3	1	6	16	18	10
14	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	12	16	9
15	Darmstadt	10	2	3	5	9	19	9
16	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	10	11	8
17	Dynamo Dresden	9	2	2	5	11	18	8
18	Hannover 96	9	2	2	5	8	15	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Holstein Kiel	Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha Berlin	0-0 D	0-1 L
Eintracht Braunschweig	0-1 L	3-1 W
VfL Osnabruck	1-1 D	2-1 W
Heidenheim	0-1 L	2-2 D
Nurnberg	2-2 D	1-4 L
St Pauli	2-2 D	2-2 D
Darmstadt	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 5 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Holstein Kiel

LDDLDLDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	3-0	5	6	W
16/10	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
09/10	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
19/09	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	1-0	1-1	10	7	D
13/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
05/09	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	10	7	D
30/08	Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-2	3	9	L
14/08	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	2-2	5	6	D
08/08	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
17/05	Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II	0-2	1-2	9	5	L

Arminia Bielefeld

LWLDLDWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
24/10	Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
18/10	VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
11/10	Bochum Germany Bundesliga II	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
20/09	Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga II	1-2	2-2	5	7	D
11/09	Darmstadt Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
04/09	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga II	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
29/08	Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II	0-3	1-4	8	2	L
16/08	Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
08/08	Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II	0-1	1-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Holstein Kiel win (39%). Probabilities: Holstein Kiel 39%, draw 27%, Arminia Bielefeld 34%.

How many goals are expected in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Holstein Kiel 1.48 · Arminia Bielefeld 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.