Football · France Ligue 3 · 12/09, 14:45

Prediction: Aubagne Air Bel vs Concarneau

Team pages: Aubagne Air Bel · Concarneau

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Aubagne Air Bel0.78
Concarneau1.2
1X2
23% 33% 45%
Aubagne Air Bel Draw Concarneau
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Aubagne Air Bel 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLLLWD
Concarneau 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DWDDDLDWDD
Head-to-head
Aubagne Air Bel 0–2–2 Concarneau (4 last)
  • Concarneau1-0Aubagne Air Bel
  • Aubagne Air Bel1-1Concarneau
  • Aubagne Air Bel0-2Concarneau
  • Concarneau0-0Aubagne Air Bel
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Concarneau (rating 1418 vs 1536).
  • H2H favours Concarneau: 2-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Aubagne Air BelConcarneau
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.40.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/33/44%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.61.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.33.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aubagne Air Bel 022 Concarneau

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/02/26
France Ligue 3
Concarneau1-0
HT 0-0
Aubagne Air Bel
29/08/25
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel1-1
HT 0-0
Concarneau
31/01/25
France Ligue 3
Aubagne Air Bel0-2
HT 0-2
Concarneau
30/08/24
France Ligue 3
Concarneau0-0
HT 0-0
Aubagne Air Bel

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAubagne Air BelConcarneau
Paris 13 Atletico 0-0 D 0-0 D
Caen 0-1 L 0-0 D
Thionville FC 0-3 L 2-2 D
Stade Briochin 1-2 L 2-1 W
Rouen 1-3 L 0-0 D
US Orleans 45 0-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Concarneau (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aubagne Air Bel

LLLDWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
29/08 Bourg-Peronnas
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-0 310 W
20/08 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-1 L
14/08 SC Bastia
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-1 58 L
07/08 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
0-1 0-3 16 L
15/05 Caen
France Ligue 3
1-0 3-1 33 W
09/05 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
1-1 1-1 24 D
01/05 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-2 118 L
24/04 Rouen
France Ligue 3
1-2 1-3 23 L
17/04 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 15 L

Concarneau

DWDDDLDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Thionville FC
France Ligue 3
2-0 2-2 25 D
29/08 Valenciennes
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 53 D
20/08 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-0 2-0 75 W
14/08 US Quevilly
France Ligue 3
0-1 1-1 48 D
07/08 US Orleans 45
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-2 44 L
15/05 Villefranche
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-2 42 D
09/05 Caen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 33 D
30/04 Paris 13 Atletico
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 73 D
24/04 Stade Briochin
France Ligue 3
1-1 2-1 52 W
17/04 Rouen
France Ligue 3
0-0 0-0 40 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aubagne Air Bel vs Concarneau?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Concarneau win (45%). Probabilities: Aubagne Air Bel 23%, draw 33%, Concarneau 45%.

How many goals are expected in Aubagne Air Bel vs Concarneau?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Aubagne Air Bel 0.78 · Concarneau 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aubagne Air Bel vs Concarneau?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.