Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: FC Schaffhausen vs Lugano II

Team pages: FC Schaffhausen · Lugano II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.65Total

FC Schaffhausen2.18

Lugano II1.47

1X2

53% 22% 25%

FC Schaffhausen Draw Lugano II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Schaffhausen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLLD

Lugano II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Schaffhausen 1–1–0 Lugano II (2 last)

FC Schaffhausen4-2Lugano II
Lugano II0-0FC Schaffhausen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Schaffhausen (rating 1519 vs 1467).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Schaffhausen	Lugano II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1.9 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.8	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	6.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.81

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:03

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.40
X	4.86 → 4.86	Pinn 4.86
2	5.73 → 5.73	Pinn 5.73

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +78’	1.40	4.86	5.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Schaffhausen 1–1–0 Lugano II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Schaffhausen	4-2	Lugano II
08/11/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Lugano II	0-0	FC Schaffhausen

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	7	5	1	1	15	9	16
2	FC Bulle	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
3	FC Schaffhausen	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
4	SC Cham	7	4	1	2	11	8	13
5	FC Grand-Saconnex	7	4	0	3	14	12	12
6	SC Bruhl	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
7	FC Paradiso	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
8	FC Zurich II	6	3	1	2	10	11	10
9	Breitenrain	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
10	Young Boys II	7	3	1	3	15	17	10
11	Basel II	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
12	YF Juventus	7	3	0	4	11	13	9
13	FC Amical Saint-Prex	7	3	0	4	8	16	9
14	Bavois	7	2	2	3	10	8	8
15	FC Kreuzlingen	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
16	Lugano II	6	2	0	4	11	18	6
17	Lucerne II	7	1	1	5	10	13	4
18	AC Bellinzona	6	0	1	5	3	12	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Schaffhausen	Lugano II
FC Kreuzlingen	3-0 W	1-1 D
Lausanne Sport II	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Schaffhausen

WWLWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
22/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
30/05	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	10	3	L
23/05	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-2	–	–	W

Lugano II

LDDLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	3-0	2	9	W
05/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-1	3-2	2	8	W
23/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-5	–	–	L
15/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-3	–	–	W
09/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
02/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	1-4	6	6	L
30/05	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D
16/05	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Schaffhausen vs Lugano II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Schaffhausen win (53%). Probabilities: FC Schaffhausen 53%, draw 22%, Lugano II 25%.

How many goals are expected in FC Schaffhausen vs Lugano II?

The model expects 3.65 goals (FC Schaffhausen 2.18 · Lugano II 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Schaffhausen vs Lugano II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.