Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 26/09, 19:30

Prediction: FC Bulle vs FC Schaffhausen

Team pages: FC Bulle · FC Schaffhausen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

FC Bulle1.75

FC Schaffhausen1.69

1X2

39% 24% 37%

FC Bulle Draw FC Schaffhausen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bulle 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Schaffhausen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Bulle 2–0 FC Schaffhausen (2 last)

FC Schaffhausen1-2FC Bulle
FC Bulle2-0FC Schaffhausen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Bulle 1609 · FC Schaffhausen 1517

	FC Bulle	Draw	FC Schaffhausen
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	40%	23%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bulle (rating 1609 vs 1517).
H2H favours FC Bulle: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bulle	FC Schaffhausen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	25/50/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.80

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.59 ★
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	2.70 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +4’	2.05	3.90	2.70
18:24 +8’	2.25▲	3.80▼	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:25 +127’	2.59	3.36	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Bulle 2–0–0 FC Schaffhausen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Schaffhausen	1-2	FC Bulle
28/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Bulle	2-0	FC Schaffhausen

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	8	6	1	1	19	9	19
2	FC Bulle	8	5	2	1	18	11	17
3	FC Schaffhausen	8	5	1	2	14	10	16
4	SC Cham	8	5	1	2	13	9	16
5	FC Grand-Saconnex	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
6	FC Paradiso	8	4	1	3	17	9	13
7	YF Juventus	8	4	0	4	12	13	12
8	SC Bruhl	8	3	2	3	12	10	11
9	Young Boys II	8	3	2	3	17	19	11
10	FC Zurich II	8	3	2	3	13	16	11
11	Breitenrain	8	3	1	4	10	13	10
12	FC Amical Saint-Prex	8	3	1	4	10	18	10
13	Basel II	8	3	0	5	14	17	9
14	Lugano II	8	3	0	5	15	20	9
15	Bavois	8	2	2	4	10	9	8
16	FC Kreuzlingen	8	2	2	4	9	12	8
17	Lucerne II	8	2	1	5	11	13	7
18	AC Bellinzona	8	1	1	6	5	16	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Bulle	FC Schaffhausen
Lugano II	4-1 W	2-1 W
SC Bruhl	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Bulle (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Bulle

WWWDWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-1	3	8	W
10/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
05/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
02/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-1	–	–	W
30/05	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	3-2	7	1	W
23/05	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-1	–	–	W

FC Schaffhausen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
22/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	4-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/05	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	10	3	L
23/05	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bulle vs FC Schaffhausen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Bulle win (39%). Probabilities: FC Bulle 39%, draw 24%, FC Schaffhausen 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bulle vs FC Schaffhausen?

The model expects 3.45 goals (FC Bulle 1.75 · FC Schaffhausen 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bulle vs FC Schaffhausen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.