Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: Basel II vs FC Bulle

Team pages: Basel II · FC Bulle

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

Basel II1.94

FC Bulle1.92

1X2

39% 23% 38%

Basel II Draw FC Bulle

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Basel II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Bulle 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Basel II 2–3–1 FC Bulle (6 last)

Basel II2-1FC Bulle
FC Bulle2-3Basel II
Basel II1-1FC Bulle
FC Bulle2-2Basel II
Basel II1-1FC Bulle
FC Bulle5-4Basel II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Basel II 1486 · FC Bulle 1581

	Basel II	Draw	FC Bulle
Our model	39%	23%	38%
Market	39%	23%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bulle (rating 1486 vs 1581).
H2H favours Basel II: 2-3-1.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Basel II	FC Bulle
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	2.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	1.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	80/0/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 8.7	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.90

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.73 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:56 +7’	2.30	3.90	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +93’	2.18	3.75	2.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel II 2–3–1 FC Bulle

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Bulle
16/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Bulle	2-3 HT 2-3	Basel II
09/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	1-1	FC Bulle
05/10/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Bulle	2-2	Basel II
30/03/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Basel II	1-1	FC Bulle
23/09/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Bulle	5-4	Basel II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	7	5	1	1	15	9	16
2	FC Bulle	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
3	FC Schaffhausen	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
4	SC Cham	7	4	1	2	11	8	13
5	FC Grand-Saconnex	7	4	0	3	14	12	12
6	SC Bruhl	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
7	FC Paradiso	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
8	FC Zurich II	6	3	1	2	10	11	10
9	Breitenrain	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
10	Young Boys II	7	3	1	3	15	17	10
11	Basel II	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
12	YF Juventus	7	3	0	4	11	13	9
13	FC Amical Saint-Prex	7	3	0	4	8	16	9
14	Bavois	7	2	2	3	10	8	8
15	FC Kreuzlingen	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
16	Lugano II	6	2	0	4	11	18	6
17	Lucerne II	7	1	1	5	10	13	4
18	AC Bellinzona	6	0	1	5	3	12	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Basel II	FC Bulle
Lugano II	0-3 L	4-1 W
SC Bruhl	3-0 W	3-1 W
Vevey-Sports	3-0 W	3-2 W
Breitenrain	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Basel II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	0-3	10	9	L
05/09	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
29/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
18/08	AC Bellinzona Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-1	6	5	L

FC Bulle

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
05/09	Bavois Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L
30/08	Biel Bienne Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
02/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	4-1	1	6	W
30/05	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	3-2	7	1	W
23/05	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/05	Vevey-Sports Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-2	10	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Basel II vs FC Bulle?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Basel II win (39%). Probabilities: Basel II 39%, draw 23%, FC Bulle 38%.

How many goals are expected in Basel II vs FC Bulle?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Basel II 1.94 · FC Bulle 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Basel II vs FC Bulle?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.