Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 19/09, 15:30

Prediction: Breitenrain vs Biel Bienne

Team pages: Breitenrain · Biel Bienne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Breitenrain1.34

Biel Bienne1.87

1X2

27% 24% 49%

Breitenrain Draw Biel Bienne

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Breitenrain 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWWLWL

Biel Bienne 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Breitenrain 1–2–3 Biel Bienne (6 last)

Biel Bienne2-2Breitenrain
Breitenrain2-2Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne3-1Breitenrain
Breitenrain3-0Biel Bienne
Breitenrain1-3Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne2-1Breitenrain

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breitenrain 1507 · Biel Bienne 1555

	Breitenrain	Draw	Biel Bienne
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	27%	23%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biel Bienne (rating 1507 vs 1555).
H2H favours Biel Bienne: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breitenrain	Biel Bienne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.31
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 1.93 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:59 +3’	3.30	3.80	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:36 +86’	3.31	3.69	1.93

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Breitenrain 1–2–3 Biel Bienne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Biel Bienne	2-2 HT 0-1	Breitenrain
21/02/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	2-2	Biel Bienne
10/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	3-1 HT 1-1	Breitenrain
14/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Breitenrain	3-0 HT 2-0	Biel Bienne
22/03/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	1-3 HT 1-0	Biel Bienne
25/09/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	2-1 HT 2-0	Breitenrain

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Biel Bienne	7	5	1	1	15	9	16
2	FC Bulle	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
3	FC Schaffhausen	7	4	1	2	12	9	13
4	SC Cham	7	4	1	2	11	8	13
5	FC Grand-Saconnex	7	4	0	3	14	12	12
6	SC Bruhl	7	3	2	2	11	8	11
7	FC Paradiso	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
8	FC Zurich II	6	3	1	2	10	11	10
9	Breitenrain	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
10	Young Boys II	7	3	1	3	15	17	10
11	Basel II	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
12	YF Juventus	7	3	0	4	11	13	9
13	FC Amical Saint-Prex	7	3	0	4	8	16	9
14	Bavois	7	2	2	3	10	8	8
15	FC Kreuzlingen	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
16	Lugano II	6	2	0	4	11	18	6
17	Lucerne II	7	1	1	5	10	13	4
18	AC Bellinzona	6	0	1	5	3	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breitenrain	Biel Bienne
Lucerne II	1-0 W	1-0 W
FC Kreuzlingen	0-1 L	4-0 W
Young Boys II	4-2 W	2-4 L
FC Bulle	2-2 D	1-1 D
SC Cham	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breitenrain

WLWLDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
05/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	2-2	12	4	D
01/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
30/05	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
23/05	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-4	–	–	L
16/05	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

Biel Bienne

DWLWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-4	–	–	L
30/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	5-2	–	–	W
19/08	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
09/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	4-2	5	1	W
02/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
30/05	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
23/05	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/05	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breitenrain vs Biel Bienne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Biel Bienne win (49%). Probabilities: Breitenrain 27%, draw 24%, Biel Bienne 49%.

How many goals are expected in Breitenrain vs Biel Bienne?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Breitenrain 1.34 · Biel Bienne 1.87), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Breitenrain vs Biel Bienne?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.