Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Grand-Saconnex vs Breitenrain

Team pages: FC Grand-Saconnex · Breitenrain

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

FC Grand-Saconnex1.82

Breitenrain1.57

1X2

43% 24% 33%

FC Grand-Saconnex Draw Breitenrain

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Grand-Saconnex 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLLLW

Breitenrain 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Grand-Saconnex 0–4–0 Breitenrain (4 last)

FC Grand-Saconnex1-1Breitenrain
Breitenrain1-1FC Grand-Saconnex
Breitenrain3-3FC Grand-Saconnex
FC Grand-Saconnex2-2Breitenrain

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Grand-Saconnex 1527 · Breitenrain 1514

	FC Grand-Saconnex	Draw	Breitenrain
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	44%	23%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Grand-Saconnex	Breitenrain
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.9	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.90

22.70

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.96
2	2.70 → 2.70	Pinn 3.53 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:18 +9’	2.05	3.90	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:19 +129’	1.80	3.96	3.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Grand-Saconnex 0–4–0 Breitenrain

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Grand-Saconnex	1-1	Breitenrain
27/09/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Grand-Saconnex
12/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Breitenrain	3-3	FC Grand-Saconnex
12/10/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	FC Grand-Saconnex	2-2	Breitenrain

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bulle	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
2	Biel Bienne	6	4	1	1	14	9	13
3	SC Cham	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
4	FC Schaffhausen	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
5	FC Paradiso	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
6	SC Bruhl	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
7	Breitenrain	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	FC Zurich II	6	3	1	2	10	11	10
9	Basel II	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
9	FC Grand-Saconnex	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
11	FC Amical Saint-Prex	7	3	0	4	8	16	9
12	Bavois	6	2	2	2	9	6	8
13	FC Kreuzlingen	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
14	Young Boys II	6	2	1	3	13	16	7
15	YF Juventus	6	2	0	4	9	13	6
16	Lugano II	6	2	0	4	11	18	6
17	Lucerne II	6	1	1	4	10	12	4
18	AC Bellinzona	6	0	1	5	3	12	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Grand-Saconnex	Breitenrain
FC Kreuzlingen	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Paradiso	2-5 L	2-1 W
SC Cham	1-2 L	1-2 L
Basel II	2-1 W	1-0 W
Lucerne II	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Grand-Saconnex

WWLWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-2	2-5	6	5	L
22/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-2	–	–	L
19/08	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-2	1-4	4	2	L
08/08	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	FC Amical Saint-Prex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	6-0	4	4	W
30/05	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-2	–	–	W
09/05	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-0	3-0	4	1	W

Breitenrain

LWLWLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Lucerne II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	3-1	4-2	6	4	W
15/08	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	2-2	12	4	D
01/08	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
30/05	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
23/05	FC Paradiso Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-4	–	–	L
16/05	Basel II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
08/05	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Grand-Saconnex vs Breitenrain?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Grand-Saconnex win (43%). Probabilities: FC Grand-Saconnex 43%, draw 24%, Breitenrain 33%.

How many goals are expected in FC Grand-Saconnex vs Breitenrain?

The model expects 3.39 goals (FC Grand-Saconnex 1.82 · Breitenrain 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Grand-Saconnex vs Breitenrain?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.