Football · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Lucerne II vs Biel Bienne

Team pages: Lucerne II · Biel Bienne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

Lucerne II1.87

Biel Bienne2.14

1X2

34% 22% 44%

Lucerne II Draw Biel Bienne

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Lucerne II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLLDL

Biel Bienne 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

Lucerne II 0–6 Biel Bienne (6 last)

Biel Bienne4-2Lucerne II
Lucerne II1-4Biel Bienne
Lucerne II2-3Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne3-0Lucerne II
Lucerne II0-2Biel Bienne
Biel Bienne2-1Lucerne II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Biel Bienne (rating 1462 vs 1557).
H2H favours Biel Bienne: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lucerne II	Biel Bienne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.2	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.87

Under 41.92

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.80
X	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95
2	2.08 → 2.08	Pinn 2.08

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +157’	2.80	3.95	2.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucerne II 0–0–6 Biel Bienne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	4-2	Lucerne II
30/08/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Lucerne II	1-4	Biel Bienne
19/04/25 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Lucerne II	2-3 HT 0-2	Biel Bienne
20/10/24 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	3-0 HT 1-0	Lucerne II
26/11/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Lucerne II	0-2	Biel Bienne
05/08/23 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Biel Bienne	2-1	Lucerne II

Standings · Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bulle	7	4	2	1	16	10	14
2	Biel Bienne	6	4	1	1	14	9	13
3	SC Cham	6	4	1	1	11	6	13
4	FC Schaffhausen	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
5	FC Paradiso	6	3	1	2	14	7	10
6	SC Bruhl	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
7	Breitenrain	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	FC Zurich II	6	3	1	2	10	11	10
9	Basel II	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
9	FC Grand-Saconnex	6	3	0	3	13	12	9
11	FC Amical Saint-Prex	7	3	0	4	8	16	9
12	Bavois	6	2	2	2	9	6	8
13	FC Kreuzlingen	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
14	Young Boys II	6	2	1	3	13	16	7
15	YF Juventus	6	2	0	4	9	13	6
16	Lugano II	6	2	0	4	11	18	6
17	Lucerne II	6	1	1	4	10	12	4
18	AC Bellinzona	6	0	1	5	3	12	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lucerne II	Biel Bienne
Young Boys II	2-2 D	2-4 L
FC Bulle	2-3 L	1-1 D
Lugano II	3-4 L	5-2 W
SC Bruhl	0-2 L	1-0 W
YF Juventus	3-0 W	4-2 W
FC Zurich II	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Biel Bienne (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucerne II

DLWLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Breitenrain Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
30/08	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-2	2-2	10	7	D
22/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-4	–	–	L
08/08	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	3-0	–	–	W
30/05	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	2-3	1	1	L
23/05	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-1	3-2	3	4	W
16/05	FC Grand-Saconnex Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-3	–	–	L
09/05	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-2	–	–	D

Biel Bienne

WDWLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Young Boys II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	2-4	–	–	L
30/08	FC Bulle Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Lugano II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	5-2	–	–	W
19/08	SC Bruhl Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
09/08	YF Juventus Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	2-0	4-2	5	1	W
02/08	FC Zurich II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
30/05	SC Cham Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-3	2	3	L
23/05	FC Kreuzlingen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	–	4-0	–	–	W
15/05	Lausanne Sport II Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	1-1	2-2	8	4	D
09/05	FC Schaffhausen Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	0-0	1-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucerne II vs Biel Bienne?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Biel Bienne win (44%). Probabilities: Lucerne II 34%, draw 22%, Biel Bienne 44%.

How many goals are expected in Lucerne II vs Biel Bienne?

The model expects 4 goals (Lucerne II 1.87 · Biel Bienne 2.14), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Lucerne II vs Biel Bienne?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.