Football · Poland III Liga · 29/10, 14:00

Prediction: Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Jaskowice

Team pages: Korona Kielce II · Wislanie Jaskowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Korona Kielce II1.6

Wislanie Jaskowice1.83

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Korona Kielce II Draw Wislanie Jaskowice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Korona Kielce II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWWLL

Wislanie Jaskowice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLWDL

Head-to-head

Korona Kielce II 3–1–0 Wislanie Jaskowice (4 last)

Korona Kielce II4-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Korona Kielce II3-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Korona Kielce II5-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-1Korona Kielce II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Korona Kielce II 1493 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1462

	Korona Kielce II	Draw	Wislanie Jaskowice
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Korona Kielce II: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Korona Kielce II	Wislanie Jaskowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:01 +3’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Korona Kielce II 3–1–0 Wislanie Jaskowice

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	4-1 HT 2-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
15/11/25 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	3-1 HT 2-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
30/05/25 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	5-1 HT 1-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
09/11/24 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-1 HT 0-0	Korona Kielce II

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	14	10	4	0	22	6	34
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	14	8	5	1	26	11	29
3	Wisloka Debica	14	8	2	4	21	16	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	14	7	3	4	30	27	24
5	Czarni Polaniec	14	7	3	4	20	18	24
6	Hetman Zamosc	14	6	5	3	26	22	23
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	14	6	3	5	21	15	21
8	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	14	6	2	6	22	21	20
9	Wisla Krakow II	14	5	4	5	18	19	19
10	JKS Jaroslaw	14	5	2	7	29	26	17
11	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	14	3	7	4	14	15	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	14	4	4	6	14	17	16
14	Korona Kielce II	14	4	2	8	28	33	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	14	4	2	8	20	32	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
17	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	14	3	2	9	14	26	11
18	Moravia Morawica	14	2	3	9	15	26	9

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Korona Kielce II	Wislanie Jaskowice
Star Starachowice	1-4 L	1-2 L
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	4-0 W	1-1 D
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2-1 W	4-1 W
Wieczysta Krakow II	1-0 W	0-1 L
Wisloka Debica	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-2 D	1-1 D
JKS Jaroslaw	2-6 L	3-1 W
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	4-1 W	1-2 L
Czarni Polaniec	3-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Korona Kielce II

LWLDLWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	3	14	L
10/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
03/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	10	2	W
19/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
12/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
05/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	1-3	2-6	5	7	L
29/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
22/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	3-4	2	5	L

Wislanie Jaskowice

WLLWDLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
09/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
03/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	10	L
25/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wislanie Jaskowice win (43%). Probabilities: Korona Kielce II 33%, draw 24%, Wislanie Jaskowice 43%.

How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Korona Kielce II 1.6 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1.83), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Korona Kielce II vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.