Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 26/07, 00:15
Prediction: River Plate vs Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
River Plate1.71
Barracas Central0.53
1X2
River Plate
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
River Plate
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
River Plate
5–1
Barracas Central
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · River Plate 1544 · Barracas Central 1447
| River Plate | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 25% | 10% |
| Market | 66% | 23% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (rating 1544 vs 1447).
- H2H favours River Plate: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Plate | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate 5–0–1 Barracas Central
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-1 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
| 13/05/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Barracas Central |
| 10/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 01/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-2 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
| 28/08/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | River Plate | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Barracas Central |
| 01/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 2-1 HT 1-0 | River Plate |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldosivi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huracan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gimnasia LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
River Plate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Aldosivi Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Flamengo America Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Blooming Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Carabobo Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Barracas Central
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Huracan Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 12/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in River Plate vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a River Plate win (66%). Probabilities: River Plate 66%, draw 24%, Barracas Central 10%.
How many goals are expected in River Plate vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 2.24 goals (River Plate 1.71 · Barracas Central 0.53), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in River Plate vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.