Football · Denmark Division 2 · 07/08, 18:30

Prediction: Middelfart vs Brabrand

Team pages: Middelfart · Brabrand

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Middelfart2.05
Brabrand0.79
1X2
67% 20% 13%
Middelfart Draw Brabrand
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Middelfart 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWWWWW
Brabrand 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WDLLLLLDLW
Head-to-head
Middelfart 2–2–2 Brabrand (6 last)
  • Middelfart3-0Brabrand
  • Middelfart0-1Brabrand
  • Brabrand1-1Middelfart
  • Brabrand0-0Middelfart
  • Middelfart1-0Brabrand
  • Middelfart1-2Brabrand
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Middelfart 1527 · Brabrand 1454
MiddelfartDrawBrabrand
Our model66%22%12%
Market67%19%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Middelfart (rating 1527 vs 1454).
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MiddelfartBrabrand
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.40.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.92.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 04.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Middelfart 222 Brabrand

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/07/26
Europe Friendlies
Middelfart3-0
HT 0-0
Brabrand
27/07/24
Europe Friendlies
Middelfart0-1
HT 0-1
Brabrand
16/03/24
Denmark Division 2
Brabrand1-1
HT 1-0
Middelfart
03/02/24
Europe Friendlies
Brabrand0-0
HT 0-0
Middelfart
09/09/23
Denmark Division 2
Middelfart1-0
HT 0-0
Brabrand
26/05/22
Denmark Division 2
Middelfart1-2
HT 1-0
Brabrand

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Middelfart 1100 413
2 B93 Copenhagen 1100 313
2 Skive 1100 313
4 VSK Arhus 1100 203
5 Fremad Amager 1010 221
5 FC Roskilde 1010 221
5 Naestved 1010 221
5 Nykobing 1010 221
9 Brabrand 1001 130
9 FA 2000 1001 130
11 Hellerup IK 1001 020
12 Thisted FC 1001 140

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiddelfartBrabrand
VSK Arhus 3-0 W 0-0 D
Aarhus Fremad 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Middelfart (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Middelfart

LWLLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Bredballe IF
Denmark Cup
0-0 2-0 W
01/08 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
3-0 4-1 21 W
25/07 Næsby
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 41 W
18/07 VSK Arhus
Europe Friendlies
3-0 3-0 32 W
14/07 Brabrand
Europe Friendlies
0-0 3-0 51 W
30/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-3 2-3 40 L
23/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-2 2-4 23 L
16/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-3 0-4 52 L
08/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-1 53 W
01/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-1 52 L

Brabrand

WDLLLLLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Aarhus Black Vipers
Denmark Cup
1-0 3-0 W
01/08 Skive
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-3 37 L
21/07 VSK Arhus
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 42 D
16/07 Aarhus Fremad
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 05 L
14/07 Middelfart
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-3 21 L
06/06 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-2 36 L
30/05 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-1 86 L
22/05 Skive
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 54 L
16/05 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
0-1 1-1 55 D
13/05 Ishoj
Denmark Division 2
2-0 2-0 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Middelfart vs Brabrand?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Middelfart win (67%). Probabilities: Middelfart 67%, draw 20%, Brabrand 13%.

How many goals are expected in Middelfart vs Brabrand?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Middelfart 2.05 · Brabrand 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Middelfart vs Brabrand?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.