Football · Denmark Division 2 · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: Brabrand vs Naestved

Team pages: Brabrand · Naestved

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Brabrand1.01
Naestved1.51
1X2
25% 27% 48%
Brabrand Draw Naestved
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Brabrand 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLDLWL
Naestved 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWDDWD
Head-to-head
Brabrand 0–1–5 Naestved (6 last)
  • Naestved0-0Brabrand
  • Brabrand0-3Naestved
  • Naestved1-0Brabrand
  • Brabrand0-1Naestved
  • Brabrand0-3Naestved
  • Naestved6-0Brabrand
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brabrand 1422 · Naestved 1541
BrabrandDrawNaestved
Our model24%28%47%
Market26%26%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naestved (rating 1422 vs 1541).
  • H2H favours Naestved: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BrabrandNaestved
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.81.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.42.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.11.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brabrand 015 Naestved

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Denmark Division 2
Naestved0-0
HT 0-0
Brabrand
05/10/25
Denmark Division 2
Brabrand0-3
HT 0-1
Naestved
21/11/21
Denmark Division 2
Naestved1-0
HT 0-0
Brabrand
09/10/21
Denmark Division 2
Brabrand0-1
HT 0-0
Naestved
28/03/15
Denmark 2. Division West
Brabrand0-3
HT 0-1
Naestved
14/09/14
Denmark 2. Division West
Naestved6-0
HT 3-0
Brabrand

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Middelfart 2200 816
2 VSK Arhus 2200 506
3 Nykobing 2110 544
4 FC Roskilde 2110 434
5 Skive 2101 543
6 B93 Copenhagen 2101 433
7 FA 2000 2101 233
8 Naestved 2020 332
9 Hellerup IK 2011 131
10 Fremad Amager 2011 251
11 Thisted FC 2002 150
12 Brabrand 2002 170

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brabrand

DLLLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Middelfart
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-4 14 L
04/08 Aarhus Black Vipers
Denmark Cup
1-0 3-0 W
01/08 Skive
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-3 37 L
21/07 VSK Arhus
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 42 D
16/07 Aarhus Fremad
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 05 L
14/07 Middelfart
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-3 21 L
06/06 Fremad Amager
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-2 36 L
30/05 FC Helsingor
Denmark Division 2
0-0 0-1 86 L
22/05 Skive
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 54 L
16/05 VSK Arhus
Denmark Division 2
0-1 1-1 55 D

Naestved

WLWLWWDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
1-1 1-1 70 D
06/08 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Cup
0-0 1-0 10 W
31/07 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
1-2 2-2 64 D
19/07 FC Helsingor
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-2 41 D
18/07 HB Køge
Club Friendly List
2-0 2-0 W
13/07 IFK Varnamo
Club Friendly List
2-0 W
06/06 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-2 2-4 44 L
29/05 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-1 4-1 42 W
23/05 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
0-1 0-2 60 L
16/05 FC Roskilde
Denmark Division 2
0-0 1-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brabrand vs Naestved?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Naestved win (48%). Probabilities: Brabrand 25%, draw 27%, Naestved 48%.

How many goals are expected in Brabrand vs Naestved?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Brabrand 1.01 · Naestved 1.51), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Brabrand vs Naestved?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.