Football · Denmark Division 2 · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: FC Roskilde vs Middelfart

Team pages: FC Roskilde · Middelfart

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
FC Roskilde1.66
Middelfart1.75
1X2
36% 25% 39%
FC Roskilde Draw Middelfart
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Roskilde 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LWWDLDDDWW
Middelfart 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLLLWWWWWW
Head-to-head
FC Roskilde 2–1–1 Middelfart (4 last)
  • FC Roskilde0-0Middelfart
  • Middelfart2-0FC Roskilde
  • FC Roskilde3-1Middelfart
  • Middelfart0-1FC Roskilde
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Roskilde 1530 · Middelfart 1549
FC RoskildeDrawMiddelfart
Our model36%24%40%
Market35%26%39%
Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Roskilde: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC RoskildeMiddelfart
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.62.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.81 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.11.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 0.21.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Roskilde 211 Middelfart

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/05/24
Denmark Division 2
FC Roskilde0-0
HT 0-0
Middelfart
27/04/24
Denmark Division 2
Middelfart2-0
HT 1-0
FC Roskilde
09/03/24
Denmark Division 2
FC Roskilde3-1
HT 0-0
Middelfart
07/10/23
Denmark Division 2
Middelfart0-1
HT 0-1
FC Roskilde

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Middelfart 2200 816
2 VSK Arhus 2200 506
3 Nykobing 2110 544
4 FC Roskilde 2110 434
5 Skive 2101 543
6 B93 Copenhagen 2101 433
7 FA 2000 2101 233
8 Naestved 2020 332
9 Hellerup IK 2011 131
10 Fremad Amager 2011 251
11 Thisted FC 2002 150
12 Brabrand 2002 170

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC RoskildeMiddelfart
B93 Copenhagen 2-1 W 2-4 L
HB Køge 0-1 L 0-4 L
Thisted FC 2-1 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Roskilde (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Roskilde

LWWDLDDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 2
1-0 2-1 17 W
04/08 Handelsstandens
Denmark Cup
2-0 5-0 W
31/07 Naestved
Denmark Division 2
2-1 2-2 64 D
25/07 Horsholm-Usserod IK
Europe Friendlies
1-2 3-3 41 D
18/07 Fremad Amager
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 23 D
11/07 HB Køge
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 21 L
07/07 AB Copenhagen
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 41 D
06/06 Hellerup IK
Denmark Division 2
0-1 3-2 74 W
29/05 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
2-1 2-1 12 W
24/05 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 2
1-2 1-3 13 L

Middelfart

WLLLWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Brabrand
Denmark Division 2
1-0 4-0 54 W
04/08 Bredballe IF
Denmark Cup
0-0 2-0 W
01/08 Thisted FC
Denmark Division 2
3-0 4-1 21 W
25/07 Næsby
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 41 W
18/07 VSK Arhus
Europe Friendlies
3-0 3-0 32 W
14/07 Brabrand
Europe Friendlies
0-0 3-0 51 W
30/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-3 2-3 40 L
23/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-2 2-4 23 L
16/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-3 0-4 52 L
08/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-1 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Roskilde vs Middelfart?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Middelfart win (39%). Probabilities: FC Roskilde 36%, draw 25%, Middelfart 39%.

How many goals are expected in FC Roskilde vs Middelfart?

The model expects 3.41 goals (FC Roskilde 1.66 · Middelfart 1.75), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Roskilde vs Middelfart?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.