Football · Denmark Division 2 · 08/08, 15:00
Prediction: Skive vs Nykobing
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Skive1.55
Nykobing1.4
1X2
Skive
Draw
Nykobing
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Skive
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Nykobing
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Skive
3–1–2
Nykobing
(6 last)
- Nykobing1-1Skive
- Skive4-0Nykobing
- Nykobing2-3Skive
- Skive0-2Nykobing
- Skive3-2Nykobing
- Nykobing4-2Skive
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Skive 1533 · Nykobing 1600
| Skive | Draw | Nykobing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1533 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Skive: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Skive | Nykobing | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Skive 3–1–2 Nykobing
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Skive |
| 15/09/24 Denmark Division 2 | Skive | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Nykobing |
| 16/03/24 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Skive |
| 07/10/23 Denmark Division 2 | Skive | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Nykobing |
| 12/06/20 Denmark Division 1 | Skive | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Nykobing |
| 01/03/20 Denmark Division 1 | Nykobing | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Skive |
Standings · Denmark Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middelfart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | B93 Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Skive | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | VSK Arhus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Fremad Amager | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Roskilde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Naestved | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Nykobing | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Hellerup IK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Skive
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/07 | Holstebro Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Ishoj Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/05 | VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | FC Helsingor Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Ishoj Denmark Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Nykobing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
1-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Skive vs Nykobing?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Skive win (40%). Probabilities: Skive 40%, draw 27%, Nykobing 33%.
How many goals are expected in Skive vs Nykobing?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Skive 1.55 · Nykobing 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Skive vs Nykobing?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.