Prediction: Middelfart vs Nykobing
Team pages: Middelfart · Nykobing
- Nykobing1-3Middelfart
- Middelfart1-0Nykobing
- Nykobing2-1Middelfart
- Middelfart2-0Nykobing
- Middelfart2-2Nykobing
- Nykobing0-0Middelfart
| Middelfart | Draw | Nykobing | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1542 vs 1596).
- H2H favours Middelfart: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Middelfart | Nykobing | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 2.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Middelfart 3–2–1 Nykobing
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/25 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Middelfart |
| 28/09/24 Denmark Division 2 | Middelfart | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nykobing |
| 09/06/24 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Middelfart |
| 11/05/24 Denmark Division 2 | Middelfart | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nykobing |
| 21/10/23 Denmark Division 2 | Middelfart | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Nykobing |
| 02/09/23 Denmark Division 2 | Nykobing | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Middelfart |
Standings · Denmark Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Arhus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Hellerup IK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | B93 Copenhagen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Middelfart | Nykobing |
|---|---|---|
| Næsby | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| B93 Copenhagen | 2-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nykobing (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Middelfart
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 07/08 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Bredballe IF Denmark Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Næsby Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | VSK Arhus Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Brabrand Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Nykobing
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Naestved Denmark Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Skive Denmark Division 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Vanløse Denmark Division 3 |
4-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Bronshoj BK Denmark Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Næsby Denmark Division 3 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | FA 2000 Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Denmark Division 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Middelfart vs Nykobing?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Middelfart win (41%). Probabilities: Middelfart 41%, draw 25%, Nykobing 33%.
How many goals are expected in Middelfart vs Nykobing?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Middelfart 1.73 · Nykobing 1.55), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Middelfart vs Nykobing?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.