Football · Denmark Division 2 · 21/08, 19:00
Prediction: Fremad Amager vs FC Roskilde
Team pages: Fremad Amager · FC Roskilde
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Fremad Amager1.37
FC Roskilde1.47
1X2
Fremad Amager
Draw
FC Roskilde
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fremad Amager
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FC Roskilde
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fremad Amager
1–1–4
FC Roskilde
(6 last)
- Fremad Amager2-2FC Roskilde
- FC Roskilde2-0Fremad Amager
- Fremad Amager2-1FC Roskilde
- Fremad Amager0-1FC Roskilde
- FC Roskilde2-0Fremad Amager
- Fremad Amager0-1FC Roskilde
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fremad Amager 1499 · FC Roskilde 1550
| Fremad Amager | Draw | FC Roskilde | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Roskilde (rating 1499 vs 1550).
- H2H favours FC Roskilde: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fremad Amager | FC Roskilde | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremad Amager 1–1–4 FC Roskilde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Fremad Amager | 2-2 HT 0-0 | FC Roskilde |
| 17/10/25 Denmark Division 2 | FC Roskilde | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fremad Amager |
| 29/08/25 Denmark Division 2 | Fremad Amager | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Roskilde |
| 25/01/25 Europe Friendlies | Fremad Amager | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Roskilde |
| 10/11/23 Denmark Division 2 | FC Roskilde | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fremad Amager |
| 01/09/23 Denmark Division 2 | Fremad Amager | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Roskilde |
Standings · Denmark Division 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Arhus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | FC Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | Hellerup IK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | B93 Copenhagen | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fremad Amager
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Skive Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | FA 2000 Denmark Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | Nykobing Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Frem Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | Sundby Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Roskilde Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Bronshoj BK Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/07 | Hvidovre IF Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Brabrand Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
FC Roskilde
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Middelfart Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 07/08 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 04/08 | Handelsstandens Denmark Cup |
2-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Horsholm-Usserod IK Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Fremad Amager Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | HB Køge Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/07 | AB Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fremad Amager vs FC Roskilde?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Roskilde win (39%). Probabilities: Fremad Amager 34%, draw 27%, FC Roskilde 39%.
How many goals are expected in Fremad Amager vs FC Roskilde?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Fremad Amager 1.37 · FC Roskilde 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fremad Amager vs FC Roskilde?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.