Football · Spain Primera Women · 05/09, 20:30
Prediction: Sevilla (W) vs Barcelona (W)
Team pages: Sevilla (W) · Barcelona (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.26Total
Sevilla (W)1.48
Barcelona (W)2.79
1X2
Sevilla (W)
Draw
Barcelona (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-2 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Sevilla (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Barcelona (W)
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sevilla (W)
0–6
Barcelona (W)
(6 last)
- Barcelona (W)4-1Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)0-5Barcelona (W)
- Barcelona (W)5-1Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)0-1Barcelona (W)
- Sevilla (W)0-3Barcelona (W)
- Barcelona (W)8-0Sevilla (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (W) (rating 1446 vs 1697).
- H2H favours Barcelona (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sevilla (W) | Barcelona (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.5 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 7.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sevilla (W) 0–0–6 Barcelona (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Spain Primera Women | Barcelona (W) | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 21/09/25 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Barcelona (W) |
| 16/04/25 Spain Primera Women | Barcelona (W) | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Sevilla (W) |
| 21/09/24 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barcelona (W) |
| 10/02/24 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Barcelona (W) |
| 07/02/24 Spain Copa De La Reina | Barcelona (W) | 8-0 HT 6-0 | Sevilla (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Madrid CFF (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | EDF Logrono (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | CD Alaves (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Madrid (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Eibar (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Sevilla (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Espanyol (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Badalona (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Granada (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Valencia (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Tenerife (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sevilla (W) | Barcelona (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Espanyol (W) | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Madrid CFF (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Real Madrid (W) | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Tenerife (W) | 0-3 L | 5-0 W |
| FC Badalona (W) | 1-5 L | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barcelona (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sevilla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | EDF Logrono (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 28/03 | Granada (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Barcelona (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Levante UD (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 22/04 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women |
4-0 | 7-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sevilla (W) vs Barcelona (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Sevilla (W) 18%, draw 18%, Barcelona (W) 64%.
How many goals are expected in Sevilla (W) vs Barcelona (W)?
The model expects 4.26 goals (Sevilla (W) 1.48 · Barcelona (W) 2.79), with a 56% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sevilla (W) vs Barcelona (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.